ATL: HERMINE - Models
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deltadog03
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Not going to lie, I am a little surprised...I shouldn't be (I have been doing this crap for over a decade), but I didn't think we would see a total meltdown from the euro. Either way...oh well!
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WeatherEmperor
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
mcheer23 wrote:deltadog03 wrote:EPIC meltdown on the EURO in progress...looks awful through hr 60...
Didn't look well on the 00Z run til about 96 hrs
On the 00Z Euro, it showed a moderate TS at 72hrs. So far through 60...it looks very poor. Just a weak surface reflection.
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
That's a huge change in the short term in the 12Z Euro. Euro is coming inline with the GFS
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Euro no longer supports development before it reaches the GoM. Looks like it is trending towards the GFS. 
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
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OntarioEggplant
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
It's starting to get its act together at 72 hrs. Weaker than 00z a bit, but it's closed and it has strengthened. The SE ridge also looks much better for a more western path.
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TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
For the time being, im n ot even concerned about intensity. Just want to see where it is expected to go, which is all based on the High in the mid-atlantic. Glad that it is struggling though, it could have been a monster
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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SeGaBob
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
It's caving.... so much for that rain that it looked like i might get. 
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
It is possible that the Euro could now be worse than the GFS and UKMET in the tropics. It's really struggled in the epac. Im not a modeling expert but 9km resolution is a really odd resolution to use
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Rail Dawg
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Funny how everyone in South Florida starts acting like all is well when those of us on the GOM coast are starting to wonder it we're going to get slammed by a major.
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Although I have been a hurricane forecaster since 1980 that only means I've been wrong lots of times.
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Looks like a weak TS through the Keys to just off SW Fla at 96 hours on the 12Z Euro
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Wx_Warrior
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TropicalSailor
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Rail Dawg wrote:Funny how everyone in South Florida starts acting like all is well when those of us on the GOM coast are starting to wonder it we're going to get slammed by a major.
Exactly...I am not buying that we are out of the woods just yet on the Gulf Coast.
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MaineWeatherNut
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
NotoSans wrote:Euro no longer supports development before it reaches the GoM. Looks like it is trending towards the GFS.
A trend is multiple runs in a row... This is a single run.
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The content of this post does NOT constitute official forecast and should not be used as such. They are the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or Storm2K. For official information, please refer to the local meteorological centers of respective areas.
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mcheer23
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
MaineWeatherNut wrote:NotoSans wrote:Euro no longer supports development before it reaches the GoM. Looks like it is trending towards the GFS.
A trend is multiple runs in a row... This is a single run.
Seriously though.
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DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Following the GFS to a tee this run. Weak up FL west coast.
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CalmBeforeStorm
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
MaineWeatherNut wrote:NotoSans wrote:Euro no longer supports development before it reaches the GoM. Looks like it is trending towards the GFS.
A trend is multiple runs in a row... This is a single run.
I would agree with you if not for the fact that 99L is nothing but a winding down naked swirl at the moment.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Remember-The track is still the same on the Euro but the intensity is much lower and intensity is the hardest thing to predict so don't let the guard down
as this could ramp up at a moments notice like so many have when getting in favorable conditions- Not saying it will but potential is there-
as this could ramp up at a moments notice like so many have when getting in favorable conditions- Not saying it will but potential is there-
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