ATL: HERMINE - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
deltadog03
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3580
- Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
- Location: Macon, GA
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Not going to lie, I am a little surprised...I shouldn't be (I have been doing this crap for over a decade), but I didn't think we would see a total meltdown from the euro. Either way...oh well!
3 likes
-
WeatherEmperor
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4806
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
- Location: South Florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
mcheer23 wrote:deltadog03 wrote:EPIC meltdown on the EURO in progress...looks awful through hr 60...
Didn't look well on the 00Z run til about 96 hrs
On the 00Z Euro, it showed a moderate TS at 72hrs. So far through 60...it looks very poor. Just a weak surface reflection.
2 likes
-
Bocadude85
- Category 5
- Posts: 2991
- Age: 38
- Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
- Location: Honolulu,Hi
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
That's a huge change in the short term in the 12Z Euro. Euro is coming inline with the GFS
1 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Euro no longer supports development before it reaches the GoM. Looks like it is trending towards the GFS. 
3 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
-
OntarioEggplant
- Category 1
- Posts: 312
- Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2016 11:16 am
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
It's starting to get its act together at 72 hrs. Weaker than 00z a bit, but it's closed and it has strengthened. The SE ridge also looks much better for a more western path.
1 likes
-
TeamPlayersBlue
- Category 5
- Posts: 3445
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
- Location: Denver/Applewood, CO
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
For the time being, im n ot even concerned about intensity. Just want to see where it is expected to go, which is all based on the High in the mid-atlantic. Glad that it is struggling though, it could have been a monster
1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
SeGaBob
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
It's caving.... so much for that rain that it looked like i might get. 
2 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
It is possible that the Euro could now be worse than the GFS and UKMET in the tropics. It's really struggled in the epac. Im not a modeling expert but 9km resolution is a really odd resolution to use
2 likes
-
Rail Dawg
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 326
- Joined: Mon Aug 27, 2012 5:02 pm
- Location: Where the eye makes landfall.
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Funny how everyone in South Florida starts acting like all is well when those of us on the GOM coast are starting to wonder it we're going to get slammed by a major.
1 likes
Although I have been a hurricane forecaster since 1980 that only means I've been wrong lots of times.
-
Bocadude85
- Category 5
- Posts: 2991
- Age: 38
- Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
- Location: Honolulu,Hi
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Looks like a weak TS through the Keys to just off SW Fla at 96 hours on the 12Z Euro
1 likes
-
Wx_Warrior
- Category 5
- Posts: 2718
- Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
- Location: Beaumont, TX
-
TropicalSailor
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 94
- Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2016 8:24 am
- Location: Panama City Beach, FL
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Rail Dawg wrote:Funny how everyone in South Florida starts acting like all is well when those of us on the GOM coast are starting to wonder it we're going to get slammed by a major.
Exactly...I am not buying that we are out of the woods just yet on the Gulf Coast.
1 likes
-
MaineWeatherNut
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 225
- Joined: Sun Sep 01, 2013 5:06 pm
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
NotoSans wrote:Euro no longer supports development before it reaches the GoM. Looks like it is trending towards the GFS.
A trend is multiple runs in a row... This is a single run.
2 likes
The content of this post does NOT constitute official forecast and should not be used as such. They are the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or Storm2K. For official information, please refer to the local meteorological centers of respective areas.
-
mcheer23
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 436
- Age: 32
- Joined: Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:24 pm
- Location: Sugar Land, Texas
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
MaineWeatherNut wrote:NotoSans wrote:Euro no longer supports development before it reaches the GoM. Looks like it is trending towards the GFS.
A trend is multiple runs in a row... This is a single run.
Seriously though.
1 likes
-
DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
- Posts: 4423
- Age: 43
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Following the GFS to a tee this run. Weak up FL west coast.
2 likes
GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !
-
CalmBeforeStorm
- Category 2
- Posts: 600
- Age: 71
- Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:55 pm
- Location: Stuart, Florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
MaineWeatherNut wrote:NotoSans wrote:Euro no longer supports development before it reaches the GoM. Looks like it is trending towards the GFS.
A trend is multiple runs in a row... This is a single run.
I would agree with you if not for the fact that 99L is nothing but a winding down naked swirl at the moment.
2 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Remember-The track is still the same on the Euro but the intensity is much lower and intensity is the hardest thing to predict so don't let the guard down
as this could ramp up at a moments notice like so many have when getting in favorable conditions- Not saying it will but potential is there-
as this could ramp up at a moments notice like so many have when getting in favorable conditions- Not saying it will but potential is there-
1 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests