ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NJWxHurricane]

Was looking at the wrong thing, forgot to refresh, LOL. My fault. Clear rotation now. Anyone see that EURO run though?

[SoupBone]

Not to sure where you are guys are seeing rotation. Not seeing anything.

I am not sure if you are joking, in the wrong thread or what...

Pretty obvious rotation on visible satellite

Just a bit of advice, but if you're going to counter someone, why not post a visual? It's easy to screen capture, throw it in paint, add an arrow to show the location, then host it on an image hosting site. When people read this, there's no substance to it. Not pointed at you, I've seen several people doing it. It helps people understand what you're discussing.

[Frank2]

Might be the MLC becoming better defined, but the weak low is moving west at 10, per radar and the NHC TWO. Once it crosses into Cuba, that hopefully should halt any development...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/vis-animated.gif

[HurriGuy]

Not to sure where you are guys are seeing rotation. Not seeing anything.

I am not sure if you are joking, in the wrong thread or what...

Pretty obvious rotation on visible satellite

Just a bit of advice, but if you're going to counter someone, why not post a visual? It's easy to screen capture, throw it in paint, add an arrow to show the location, then host it on an image hosting site. When people read this, there's no substance to it. Not pointed at you, I've seen several people doing it. It helps people understand what you're discussing.

I had just posted a visible satellite 2 posts above his. I didn't think I needed to do it again...

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/index.php?action=view_animation&req_method=nframes_enddate&enddate=20160827&endtime=latest&nframes=140&band=1&res=1&aniwidth=600&aniheight=373

[tropicwatch]

Here is a great sat view, be sure to zoom in. Make your own judgements.

https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/index.php?action=view_animation&req_method=nframes_enddate&enddate=20160827&endtime=latest&nframes=50&band=1&res=1&aniwidth=900&aniheight=550

[ScottNAtlanta]

I think the centre has relocated east as well. We'll have to see if the convection firing now gets substantial enough to fight off the shear...is this giving anyone else a headache?

[La Breeze]

bad news for 99l upper low starting affect 99l from north http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-ir4.html

Yes!!

[ScottNAtlanta]

Here is a great sat view, be sure to zoom in. Make your own judgements.

https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/index.php?action=view_animation&req_method=nframes_enddate&enddate=20160827&endtime=latest&nframes=50&band=1&res=1&aniwidth=900&aniheight=550

It's always so amazing to watch the thunderstorms form as they bubble up through the atmosphere...almost like watching soap suds

[La Breeze]

I'm in the Houston area and they are talking about a disturbance south of New Iberia, LA so hope 99L blows out. We don't need any more water and certainly don't need it in LA

You've got that right! Please, no more water here in LA.

[jlauderdal]

Here is a great sat view, be sure to zoom in. Make your own judgements.

https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/index.php?action=view_animation&req_method=nframes_enddate&enddate=20160827&endtime=latest&nframes=50&band=1&res=1&aniwidth=900&aniheight=550

It's always so amazing to watch the thunderstorms form as they bubble up through the atmosphere...almost like watching soap suds

We get this everyday in florida during the rainy season

[ScottNAtlanta]

Well it looks like JB is back on board (I think he is a little too Euro-centric...If it had been the GFS I wonder if he'd be back on board)

[wxman57]

I don't think there is any evidence of an LLC beneath that mid-level rotation to the east. The low-level vorticity is well west of there approaching 80W now. Sometimes, if convection persists in the vicinity of a mid-level rotation and if the shear relaxes, an LLC can form beneath it. Problem here is the strong westerly wind shear persists, preventing that from happening. Once the mid-level center passes the favorable region of the upper-low immediately to the north then convection will likely diminish.

[Hammy]

I think the centre has relocated east as well. We'll have to see if the convection firing now gets substantial enough to fight off the shear...is this giving anyone else a headache?

I know it's been driving me crazy for the last week.

I don't think the center has relocated--if you go to the NASA satellite page and watch the cloud motion (not the mid-level, but thunderstorms/low clouds) it's clearly out of the south where the convection is, so I'd estimate the vortex is very likely southwest of North Andros.

[Aric Dunn]

I think the centre has relocated east as well. We'll have to see if the convection firing now gets substantial enough to fight off the shear...is this giving anyone else a headache?

I know it's been driving me crazy for the last week.

I don't think the center has relocated--if you go to the NASA satellite page and watch the cloud motion (not the mid-level, but thunderstorms/low clouds) it's clearly out of the south where the convection is, so I'd estimate the vortex is very likely southwest of North Andros.

yeah I mean the mid level is quite ominous. but pretty sure the low level circ/vort is just south of Andros. a lot of cloud debris but it also has been moving from earlier so the ship reports from hours ago may still be valid. So the convection firing now would just on the east side of the rotation. have to wait and see

[Frank P]

My two cents, rotation to the east is MLC, I see no evidence of any pronounce LLC anywhere on the sat loops, if its out there its ridiculously weak... 99l looks pretty bad now.. regardless, as long as there is rotation be it mid or low and building convection gotta watch it... rather watch a bad Saints pre season than this pfffffft ...

[Nimbus]

Just in the last hour there have been some hot towers firing S of Andros island but you can see some low level circulation headed WSW towards the location WXman57 specified. There were some outflow boundaries out in the Florida strait so that vort may be done.

The broader low level circulation looks elongated without any real sharp center yet but it may get its act together againsomewhat tomorrow morning.

[gatorcane]

18Z GFS has a big bend of Florida hit. Not sure what it is about that area but TCs love to make landfall there

[Aric Dunn]

18Z GFS has a big bend of Florida hit. Not sure what it is about that area but TCs love to make landfall there

the big difference is it actually has a system. all the previous run there was nothing at all that looks like a decent TS.

[Aric Dunn]

WIll be nice by tomorrow to be radar range

[hriverajr]

That "center" appears just at the mid levels at this time. Also note another little mid level circulation west of Florida. The only real surface circulation albeit very weak, is right off the upper Texas coast.