ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[drezee]

Has a storm ever gone from TD to hurricane? Just kidding

[ScottNAtlanta]

Has a storm ever gone from TD to hurricane? Just kidding

Humberto off the TX coast did I believe.

[Aric Dunn]

Has a storm ever gone from TD to hurricane? Just kidding

I have seen TD to 60mph.

[JKingTampa]

Has a storm ever gone from TD to hurricane? Just kidding

Hell by the time they make it out there I would say it's possible but I know nhc would never let that happen.

[Bocadude85]

Buoy 42003 over 100 miles away just gusted to 37kts

Doesn't take much to get a 37kt gust over the open ocean from a passing thunderstorm.

[RL3AO]

Everyone take a deep breath. This is not a 50kt storm. It still needs to organize further. It has 30 to 40 KT winds right now.

[flamingosun]

Everyone take a deep breath. This is not a 50kt storm. It still needs to organize further. It has 30 to 40 KT winds right now.

Thank you!

[ScottNAtlanta]

Everyone take a deep breath. This is not a 50kt storm. It still needs to organize further. It has 30 to 40 KT winds right now.

(raises arms...takes deep cleansing breath...lowers arms)

[Frank P]

Might be an optical illusion but it looks like spin in the northern blob of convection in this enhanced sat image.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=24&lon=-85&type=Animation&palette=ir4.pal&zoom=2&numframes=15

Well if it is, sure looks like the little spin is going south... illusion or not..

[drezee]

Everyone take a deep breath. This is not a 50kt storm. It still needs to organize further. It has 30 to 40 KT winds right now.

(raises arms...takes deep cleansing breath...lowers arms)

It is like Christmas morning, I got a big box but I need recon to open it and show me what I got...

[psyclone]

For folks in Pinellas county there is additional torrential rain approaching from the south. this may aggravate existing flooding or cause earlier flooding that had receded to redevelop.. radar and satellite is showing a lot more activity forming. the flood threat is very real and developing earlier than many would have expected.

[JtSmarts]

This is storm is an excellent example of how satellite images can at times be deceiving. It is reminding of (I believe) pre-Claudette 2003 way back in the first year of s2k. That storm looked amazing before it was named but had very little lower level organization.

[JKingTampa]

For folks in Pinellas county there is additional torrential rain approaching from the south. this may aggravate existing flooding or cause earlier flooding that had receded to redevelop.. radar and satellite is showing a lot more activity forming. the flood threat is very real and developing earlier than many would have expected.

I've already been out and about today and have experienced flooding issues. Worried about this next band coming in along with everything forming around it..not looking good as far as rainfall goes..

[stormlover2013]

its a tropical storm!!!

[Stormcenter]

They may eventually be classified as a TS today but right now it doesn't look as impressive as some think. Though I still believe this has a
good chance to be more than just a TD or TS before landfall. IMO

[psyclone]

For folks in Pinellas county there is additional torrential rain approaching from the south. this may aggravate existing flooding or cause earlier flooding that had receded to redevelop.. radar and satellite is showing a lot more activity forming. the flood threat is very real and developing earlier than many would have expected.

I've already been out and about today and have experienced flooding issues. Worried about this next band coming in along with everything forming around it..not looking good as far as rainfall goes..

it seems some areas are going to exceed that 8-12" estimate. some good lightning in that band too so you should be hearing thunder in St Pete soon.

[JKingTampa]

For folks in Pinellas county there is additional torrential rain approaching from the south. this may aggravate existing flooding or cause earlier flooding that had receded to redevelop.. radar and satellite is showing a lot more activity forming. the flood threat is very real and developing earlier than many would have expected.

I've already been out and about today and have experienced flooding issues. Worried about this next band coming in along with everything forming around it..not looking good as far as rainfall goes..

it seems some areas are going to exceed that 8-12" estimate. some good lightning in that band too so you should be hearing thunder in St Pete soon.

So far not yet but after that band gets through I'm gonna head out to lunch *hopefully* so if anything gets bad I'll post the pics.

[wxman57]

that and the 16 miles per hour is if it was already moving at 16mi/hr.. since its not that means it needs to get up to that speed which takes time which means it would have to eventually move 18 miles per hour.. sorry thats not happening lol

Note that the distance between their 0hr and 9hr points is 97 miles. That would equate to an average speed of 10.8 kts. That may be a little fast, but it will start accelerating NNE-NE in a week or two...

[OntarioEggplant]

Is there another TD forming off the coast of SC? I know off topic, but it looks like it.

[Recurve]

If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it's still not a duck if it's actually a deranged chicken.