ATL: IRMA - Models

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1221 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:46 am

Wow,

As expected looks like the GFS is coming around to the EURO not good.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1222 Postby tgenius » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:47 am

The question I have is how reliable are the models going to be without having a GIV in there to sample the atmosphere?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1223 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:49 am

Ironically the 66 hour position is a hair SE of the 06z

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1224 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:50 am

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Wow,

As expected looks like the GFS is coming around to the EURO not good.


Yep, when Euro/UK agree inside 120 hours you can usually bank on it. Heading for the islands IMO, I'd be preparing if I lived there as this is only 6 days out, and with the storm growing in size the impacts will begin in 5 days as the outer bands reach the area.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1225 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:51 am

78 hour position is almost identical to 06z

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1226 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:54 am

84 Hours

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1227 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:00 am

Further South at 102 Hours...Looks to be leveling out the WSW dive. Also notice the low to the NW is weaker. This may brush the Northern Islands this time.

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1228 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:05 am

114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1229 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:07 am

120 Hours...No BOC development taking place

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1230 Postby linnie » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:07 am

Thanks for posting the models. I am here watching and hope to see a different outcome.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1231 Postby Raebie » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:08 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.


We were told to shut up. :P
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1232 Postby Cuda » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:08 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.




Probably a lot of lurkers like me. I don't know enough to add anything valuable to the conversation. I simply observe and try to learn.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1233 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:08 am

I have a feeling GFS will take this run between FL and NC, but yes, seems to be edging towards the Euros models..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1234 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:08 am

Lots of us watching, thanks for posting.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1235 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:08 am

GFS still with the weaker ridge to the north than the ECM
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1236 Postby AubreyStorm » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:09 am

Thanks for posting the models.... :lol:
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1237 Postby nativefloridian » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:09 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:120 Hours...No BOC development taking place

Image



Believe me.....you are definitely not alone. We're watching and waiting for each & every post! :eek:
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1238 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:09 am

:roflmao:
Raebie wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.


We were told to shut up. :P
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1239 Postby pcolaman » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:10 am

According to the models with the ridging and place this one has me very worried for anyone who gets this looks like there is no way to slow this one down at the moment could this possibly be another hurricane of the century in the making with Winds of over hurricane force over 200 miles from the center with tropical Force storm winds 400 - 600 miles ? Open this and really changes the closer it gets to the US
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1240 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 11:10 am

Moving WNW at 132 Hours...Will probably clear the islands

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