ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Wow,
As expected looks like the GFS is coming around to the EURO not good.
As expected looks like the GFS is coming around to the EURO not good.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
The question I have is how reliable are the models going to be without having a GIV in there to sample the atmosphere?
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Ironically the 66 hour position is a hair SE of the 06z


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Wow,
As expected looks like the GFS is coming around to the EURO not good.
Yep, when Euro/UK agree inside 120 hours you can usually bank on it. Heading for the islands IMO, I'd be preparing if I lived there as this is only 6 days out, and with the storm growing in size the impacts will begin in 5 days as the outer bands reach the area.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
78 hour position is almost identical to 06z


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
84 Hours


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Further South at 102 Hours...Looks to be leveling out the WSW dive. Also notice the low to the NW is weaker. This may brush the Northern Islands this time.


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
120 Hours...No BOC development taking place


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Thanks for posting the models. I am here watching and hope to see a different outcome.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.
We were told to shut up.

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.
Probably a lot of lurkers like me. I don't know enough to add anything valuable to the conversation. I simply observe and try to learn.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
I have a feeling GFS will take this run between FL and NC, but yes, seems to be edging towards the Euros models..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Thanks for posting the models.... 

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:120 Hours...No BOC development taking place
Believe me.....you are definitely not alone. We're watching and waiting for each & every post!

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

Raebie wrote:SouthFLTropics wrote:114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.
We were told to shut up.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
According to the models with the ridging and place this one has me very worried for anyone who gets this looks like there is no way to slow this one down at the moment could this possibly be another hurricane of the century in the making with Winds of over hurricane force over 200 miles from the center with tropical Force storm winds 400 - 600 miles ? Open this and really changes the closer it gets to the US
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Moving WNW at 132 Hours...Will probably clear the islands


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