ATL: IRMA - Models

[tgenius]

The question I have is how reliable are the models going to be without having a GIV in there to sample the atmosphere?

[SouthFLTropics]

Ironically the 66 hour position is a hair SE of the 06z

[txwatcher91]

Wow,

As expected looks like the GFS is coming around to the EURO not good.

Yep, when Euro/UK agree inside 120 hours you can usually bank on it. Heading for the islands IMO, I'd be preparing if I lived there as this is only 6 days out, and with the storm growing in size the impacts will begin in 5 days as the outer bands reach the area.

[SouthFLTropics]

78 hour position is almost identical to 06z

[SouthFLTropics]

84 Hours

[SouthFLTropics]

Further South at 102 Hours...Looks to be leveling out the WSW dive. Also notice the low to the NW is weaker. This may brush the Northern Islands this time.

[SouthFLTropics]

114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.

[SouthFLTropics]

120 Hours...No BOC development taking place

[linnie]

Thanks for posting the models. I am here watching and hope to see a different outcome.

[Raebie]

114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.

We were told to shut up.

[Cuda]

114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.

Probably a lot of lurkers like me. I don't know enough to add anything valuable to the conversation. I simply observe and try to learn.

[meriland29]

I have a feeling GFS will take this run between FL and NC, but yes, seems to be edging towards the Euros models..

[SunnyThoughts]

Lots of us watching, thanks for posting.

[Dean4Storms]

GFS still with the weaker ridge to the north than the ECM

[AubreyStorm]

Thanks for posting the models....

[nativefloridian]

120 Hours...No BOC development taking place

Believe me.....you are definitely not alone. We're watching and waiting for each & every post!

[SouthFLTropics]

114 Hours...Still strong ridging. It amazes me how quiet it is in here. Everyone must be waiting for each frame with anticipation. I feel like I'm talking to myself.

We were told to shut up.

[pcolaman]

According to the models with the ridging and place this one has me very worried for anyone who gets this looks like there is no way to slow this one down at the moment could this possibly be another hurricane of the century in the making with Winds of over hurricane force over 200 miles from the center with tropical Force storm winds 400 - 600 miles ? Open this and really changes the closer it gets to the US

[SouthFLTropics]

Moving WNW at 132 Hours...Will probably clear the islands

[meriland29]