ATL: IRMA - Models

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AxaltaRacing24
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2981 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:28 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2982 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:28 am

Philly again?
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weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2983 Postby weathaguyry » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:28 am

198, maybe another MD/DE hit?

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2984 Postby M3gaMatch » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:28 am

trough replaced by new ridge building through Canada...landfall looks inevitable this run.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2985 Postby Ken711 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:28 am

Landfall at the Outer Banks? NC/VA border is what I was thinking the trend has been further west.
Last edited by Ken711 on Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2986 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:29 am

Not looking this trend in the GFS here in Wilmington, NC. Curious to see GEFS.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2987 Postby Siker » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:29 am

Trough evolution completely different from past few runs beyond 144 hours but still a devastating hit for the Mid-Atlantic / Northeast.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2988 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:30 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2989 Postby weathaguyry » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:30 am

204, about to Landfall in MD

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2990 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:31 am

This is literally a horror show for me...lol
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2991 Postby Steve » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:31 am

Siker wrote:Trough evolution completely different from past few runs beyond 144 hours but still a devastating hit for the Mid-Atlantic / Northeast.


Yeah, it lifts out and a piece gets left back in Ohio. I think this will come NNW and not go NNE.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 212&fh=186
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2992 Postby xironman » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:31 am

A landfalling cane of that strength VA tidewater would be an unmitigated disaster. The entire are is very low lying.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2993 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:32 am

CMC NC landfall
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2994 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:32 am

GFS slower than the 6z run, but still faster than the 0z Euro.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2995 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:33 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2996 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:33 am

and that is an absolutely catastrophic run for the east coast.. geesh..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2997 Postby Ken711 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:33 am

xironman wrote:A landfalling cane of that strength VA tidewater would be an unmitigated disaster. The entire are is very low lying.


Massive flooding along the lines of Harvey/Houston would be possible.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2998 Postby Steve » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:34 am

CMC and GFS within a couple hundred miles. GFS headed toward Hampton/Norfolk/VA Beach, Baltimore, DC, Philadelphia and some points north or NW as the run continues. Interesting to see if it stays with a W component all the way to Hudson Bay as it did last night.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2999 Postby pgoss11 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:34 am

Seems like this GFS run was somewhat slower than the 06z run and landfall is farther south down the coast. Maybe the GFS is more in line with the Euro run now. Still aways out and things can change but WOW!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3000 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sat Sep 02, 2017 11:34 am

GFS suddenly hooks inland and spares me...but wipes DC, Baltimore, and the Delmarva off the face of the earth with a C4 impact...holy moly. Take verbatim, that would make Sandy look like a rain shower.
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