adam0983 wrote:One person says the ridge is weaker and the next person says it is stronger im confused.
If you are talking about me, i was also saying that it looked weaker. Although it built back up at hour 42. This run now looks interesting.
ATL: IRMA - Models
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WilmingtonSandbar
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
If you are talking about me, i was also saying that it looked weaker. Although it built back up at hour 42. This run now looks interesting.
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eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
rickybobby wrote:Wesh 2 met said all the models have shifted west and he's getting worried now. Thinks it could land somewhere in south florida and go up the coast.
Who is Wesh2? This is the same guy that said Florida wasn't a possibility 24 hours ago right?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Tad further SW looks like core will come real close to the islands and PR if does not pull up..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
and its pretty much over PR.. hurricane force winds will be over PR on thins run..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
USTropics wrote:Trend towards the south continues:
]
If it keeps moving south this storm could pull a Georges(1998) like Track.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Ridge noticeably stronger. May scrape Hispaniola.
Last edited by GeneratorPower on Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Please let people comment as they see fit and observe the model as well giving you the knowledge to agree or disagree.
Last edited by Steve on Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Trough is about to get lift out, ridge is stronger.
May be SFL hit this run
May be SFL hit this run
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Aric Dunn wrote:and its pretty much over PR.. hurricane force winds will be over PR on thins run..
Has TS winds at 78 hours, a little too far north for hurricane force, but not that far
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Maybe the models are finally getting a grip on that ridge and it's just stronger than previously anticipated. Now that we're seeing Irma dive it finally gives a better outlook on the factor the ridge will play which in return can produce better forecasting .. hopefully.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Last 5 runs Trend is stronger, further south ridge and storm near PR with a less deep trough 00z Thursday
Last edited by bamajammer4eva on Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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