ATL: IRMA - Models

[eastcoastFL]

Wesh 2 met said all the models have shifted west and he's getting worried now. Thinks it could land somewhere in south florida and go up the coast.

Who is Wesh2? This is the same guy that said Florida wasn't a possibility 24 hours ago right?

[AxaltaRacing24]

Stronger ridging and a farther south storm

[SFLcane]

Tad further SW looks like core will come real close to the islands and PR if does not pull up..

[Alyono]

looks like a direct hit as a cat 4 on Barbuda from the GFS

[GeneratorPower]

SW shift continues. Slight but certain.

[USTropics]

Trend towards the south continues:

[AxaltaRacing24]

Big SW shift with the storm and ridge. Headed to DR?

[Aric Dunn]

and its pretty much over PR.. hurricane force winds will be over PR on thins run..

[ConvergenceZone]

That last frame..WTH?

[Sciencerocks]

Trend towards the south continues:
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If it keeps moving south this storm could pull a Georges(1998) like Track.

[GeneratorPower]

Ridge noticeably stronger. May scrape Hispaniola.

[Alyono]

It's a repeat of Luis, possibly worse on this run

[Steve]

Please let people comment as they see fit and observe the model as well giving you the knowledge to agree or disagree.

[AxaltaRacing24]

WTH GFS?

[AutoPenalti]

Trough is about to get lift out, ridge is stronger.

May be SFL hit this run

[weathaguyry]

and its pretty much over PR.. hurricane force winds will be over PR on thins run..

Has TS winds at 78 hours, a little too far north for hurricane force, but not that far

[eastcoastFL]

Maybe the models are finally getting a grip on that ridge and it's just stronger than previously anticipated. Now that we're seeing Irma dive it finally gives a better outlook on the factor the ridge will play which in return can produce better forecasting .. hopefully.

[bamajammer4eva]

Last 5 runs Trend is stronger, further south ridge and storm near PR with a less deep trough 00z Thursday

[AxaltaRacing24]

Pull up! Pull up!

[SFLcane]

Still SW nearing Hispaniola..