ATL: IRMA - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
meriland29
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 770
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7321 Postby meriland29 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:54 pm

Quite a ways north of 12z

Image
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20040
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7322 Postby tolakram » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:55 pm

GFS so far

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23695
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7323 Postby gatorcane » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:56 pm

Heading W at 84 hours. This is some new wrinkle with the GFS that is for sure:

Image
0 likes   
Top
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7210
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:
Contact jlauderdal

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7324 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:56 pm

tolakram wrote:GFS so far

Image
that looks like an upcoming direct hit for the se coast
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
p1nheadlarry
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 672
Age: 33
Joined: Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:42 pm
Location: SR County FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7325 Postby p1nheadlarry » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:56 pm

GFS on the east camp hard. Do we have yet another chapter to write in the ECMWF v GFS saga? EPS were not the tightest cluster I've seen...
0 likes   
--;->#GoNoles--;->.
Top
User avatar
Kohlecane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 599
Age: 33
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:03 pm
Location: Beaufort, SC

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7326 Postby Kohlecane » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:57 pm

tolakram wrote:GFS so far

Image

Wobble de wobble at the end me no like SFL still very much at play
0 likes   
Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!

This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
Top
User avatar
meriland29
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 770
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7327 Postby meriland29 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:58 pm

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0518&fh=90

Looks like NW to a W jog at 90hrs
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20040
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7328 Postby tolakram » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:58 pm

GFS going sub 900 again

Image
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
Raebie
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 822
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 8:00 pm
Location: Charlotte, NC

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7329 Postby Raebie » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:58 pm

Seems to be moving a lot faster this run?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3383
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7330 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:59 pm

Starting to wonder if this is going to be another one of those "meet me in the middle" scenarios between the ECMWF and GFS...
1 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23695
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7331 Postby gatorcane » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:59 pm

Escape route opening up...

Image
1 likes   
Top
Vdogg
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 621
Joined: Wed Aug 31, 2016 9:56 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7332 Postby Vdogg » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:59 pm

Hmm, maybe back to a coastal rider? This might be too far north, not sure I'm buying.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
meriland29
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 770
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7333 Postby meriland29 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:59 pm

Raebie wrote:Seems to be moving a lot faster this run?



Just a couple hundred miles from the coast in about 4 days, yeah.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10166
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7334 Postby Blown Away » Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:00 pm

Again under 900mb... Geez
1 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
tarheelprogrammer
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1793
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2016 9:25 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC area (Garner, NC)

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7335 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:00 pm

So, it is going to miss the Carolinas right?
0 likes   
My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23695
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7336 Postby gatorcane » Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:00 pm

Looks like it will turn east of FL this run. Good news here - maybe the ECMWF will shift east later also.

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:01 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
meriland29
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 770
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7337 Postby meriland29 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:00 pm

quite a ways from 18z now at hr102
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20040
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7338 Postby tolakram » Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:00 pm

It's got it, moving north/nw now.

Image
2 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
meriland29
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 770
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2017 11:05 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7339 Postby meriland29 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:01 pm

Hows the ridge and trough look in comparison?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mcheer23
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 440
Age: 32
Joined: Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:24 pm
Location: Sugar Land, Texas

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#7340 Postby mcheer23 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:01 pm

Now GFS misses FL? What.
1 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2017”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 14 guests