ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[meriland29]

Imma gonna be watching the live feeds starting when i get hone tonight. In many spots, it already looks like it is only an hour offshore based on the flooding and winds... but is really almost a day away.

[Condor]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimtc/2018_14L/web/basicGifDisplay.html

Microwave looks to have a well developed eye that is just being hidden by the convection when looking at satellite.. anyone else see the same?

[NDG]

Looking at the satellite it looks like is getting ready to start making that anticipated N to NNE heading fairly soon.

[eastcoastFL]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimtc/2018_14L/web/basicGifDisplay.html

Microwave looks to have a well developed eye that is just being hidden by the convection when looking at satellite.. anyone else see the same?

Based on that the eye is as good as it has been so far.

[supercane4867]

New hot towers t off in the SE now

[eastcoastFL]

Looking at the satellite it looks like is getting ready to start making that anticipated N to NNE heading fairly soon.

Yup its about to cross 86W again soon to the east. Its been inching back that way. It will be interesting how sharp the turn is.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Have you guys ever seen an Atlantic storm at this latitude firing off such consistent -80-90*C cloud tops?

[Dylan]

 https://twitter.com/dylanfedericowx/status/1049793710886711297

[chaser1]

A few run cycles ago, the NAM was throwing out numbers like 898 mb !!! Thank heaven, NAM has trended MUCH WEAKER and now only dropping down to a flacid 935 mb

[txwatcher91]

A few run cycles ago, the NAM was throwing out numbers like 898 mb !!! Thank heaven, NAM has trended MUCH WEAKER and now only dropping down to a flacid 935 mb

The way this is intensifying right now... the 935mb may not be strong enough.

[Extratropical94]

124 kt sfc wind in NE eyewall dropsonde. I really hope that this is a measurement error.

[Abdullah]

Category 5 may be possible
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.0 / 938.7mb/115.0kt
According to Dvorak it's already 4

[supercane4867]

Have you guys ever seen an Atlantic storm at this latitude firing off such consistent -80-90*C cloud tops?

Not that I can think of. But if there have been IR imagery available back in 1969 I would imagine Camille to have some ridiculous satellite presentation in the Gulf.

[cheezyWXguy]

A few run cycles ago, the NAM was throwing out numbers like 898 mb !!! Thank heaven, NAM has trended MUCH WEAKER and now only dropping down to a flacid 935 mb

The way this is intensifying right now... the 935mb may not be strong enough.

Im inclined to agree. Its at 951 right now and hasn't even cleared its eye out yet. Once it does, I could see the pressure dropping more than just another 16mb...

[xironman]

A few run cycles ago, the NAM was throwing out numbers like 898 mb !!! Thank heaven, NAM has trended MUCH WEAKER and now only dropping down to a flacid 935 mb

Go the opposite of the NAM and you will be ok.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/1049794005096177664

[supercane4867]

Beast mode in full force

[gfsperpendicular]

The last few visible satellite frames kinda look like someone lost control of a fire hose. No good ever comes of that.

This is actually a great analogy

[PavelGaborik10]

124 kt sfc wind in NE eyewall dropsonde. I really hope that this is a measurement error.

No way that's legit.

[SunnyThoughts]

124 kt sfc wind in NE eyewall dropsonde. I really hope that this is a measurement error.

No way that's legit.

Probably a gust.....hopefully.