ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[chaser1]

By the way, here we are on 10/9/18 and there's 3 Atlantic tropical cyclones spinning out there. Don't see that all too often!

[supercane4867]

-80C convection completely surrounding the eye. Unreal

[CrazyC83]

-80C convection completely surrounding the eye. Unreal

https://i.imgur.com/SlQ8kbz.jpg

I don't think Katrina or Rita ever had CDG surrounding the eye at all. Opal I think did, but had a pitiful eye structure for 916mb.

[Hammy]

By the way, here we are on 10/9/18 and there's 3 Atlantic tropical cyclones spinning out there. Don't see that all too often!

I couldn't even find any examples where one of them wasn't in ET transition, so this could be a first especially with three strengthening systems.

[SunnyThoughts]

Rick Scott ( Fla gov) on TWC absolutely begging people in the panhandle to get out of the storm surge areas. He is telling them if they stay, they will die.

[northjaxpro]

Incredible seeing those intense convective tops completely wrapping the eye. Just speechless right now!

[Visioen]

So I guess this is supposed to be D-min

[Sciencerocks]

-80C convection completely surrounding the eye. Unreal

https://i.imgur.com/SlQ8kbz.jpg

I don't think Katrina or Rita ever had CDG surrounding the eye at all. Opal I think did, but had a pitiful eye structure for 916mb.

We'll never know for sure but Camille or the 1935 hurricane may have.

[StormPyrate]

-80C convection completely surrounding the eye. Unreal

https://i.imgur.com/SlQ8kbz.jpg

No matter what graphic you look at, this thing is hitting the top of the scale

[KWT]

-80C convection completely surrounding the eye. Unreal

https://i.imgur.com/SlQ8kbz.jpg

I don't think Katrina or Rita ever had CDG surrounding the eye at all. Opal I think did, but had a pitiful eye structure for 916mb.

Very rare for any storm to get that cold north of 20n in this basin, so that is mighty impressive!

Also warm spot really starting to show itself again, about to look real classic in the next 3hrs...like 4/5 classic ..

[wx98]

Whats up with that flight path the NOAA plane took?..

Going back in for another pass?

looks like they did a little loop in the eyewall and didnt go for a fix on the center. I dont know anything about how their flight plans work though.

I thought they may have gone out to sample the extent of the wind field on the east side and then came back for another pass.

[Andy_L]

Hey Wxman57, wasn't your original forecast for this to be 45 knots? You nailed the location but off a tad on the intensity (this is very tongue in cheek...I have utmost respect for the pros here)

[shiny-pebble]

How's prep along tue panhandle going? Is it enough? Was there enough time

Sent from my LG-H700 using Tapatalk

[bella_may]

I’m surprised at how much convection is building on the west side

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1049801036880379906

[xironman]

A few run cycles ago, the NAM was throwing out numbers like 898 mb !!! Thank heaven, NAM has trended MUCH WEAKER and now only dropping down to a flacid 935 mb

Go the opposite of the NAM and you will be ok.

Whew, that's a relief !! I'm sure pressures in 'ol Mikey are gonna jump 10 mb or more. Yep, that eye should be filling any moment now

So if the NAM says weaker, go for stronger, really it is a mid latitude model completely out of its element

[galaxy401]

Michael is looking very dangerous now...People in its path better have prepared themselves already. The people who decided to stay at the landfall area might be in for a rude surprise...

[NDG]

Wow, 124 knot fl level winds found by NOAA recon.

230300 2628N 08610W 7482 02239 9665 +159 //// 184121 124 087 041 01

[michelinj]

124 kts FL winds from recon!!! What!

[wx98]

NOAA plane just measured 125 kt FL, ~100 SFMR, blend of these supports 105-110 kt. I’d venture to say this is probably 115 kt Cat 4 now