ATL: Ex INVEST 96L - Discussion

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BlowHard
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#21 Postby BlowHard » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:12 pm

How come I can't find this storm called Invest96L *anywhere* on the NHC page??? Does someone have a link or did you guys just decide it was now an invest on your own? :double:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#22 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:17 pm

BlowHard wrote:How come I can't find this storm called Invest96L *anywhere* on the NHC page??? Does someone have a link or did you guys just decide it was now an invest on your own? :double:

it on
navy site
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#23 Postby USTropics » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:20 pm

BlowHard wrote:How come I can't find this storm called Invest96L *anywhere* on the NHC page??? Does someone have a link or did you guys just decide it was now an invest on your own? :double:


Storm2k bribed Stewart. Jk, you can find the .dat files here (NHC has been tracking this as GENESIS for a bit).

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/aid_public/
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#24 Postby BlowHard » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:22 pm

So it's been a year, have I lost my mind? Alzheimers? Didn't the NHC always put "invest" and whatever number on thier 2 and 5 day outlooks? Like we knew when it got to 70% it would be considered an invest? Just curious because I don't want to be thinking it's not an invest for some reason when it really is. Also, I don't know where to find "navy site" so if you could provide me with a link, I would be grateful. No, really, I promise!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#25 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:28 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#26 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:43 pm

BlowHard wrote:So it's been a year, have I lost my mind? Alzheimers? Didn't the NHC always put "invest" and whatever number on thier 2 and 5 day outlooks? Like we knew when it got to 70% it would be considered an invest? Just curious because I don't want to be thinking it's not an invest for some reason when it really is. Also, I don't know where to find "navy site" so if you could provide me with a link, I would be grateful. No, really, I promise!


I don't think the NHC has ever referred to anything as an invest on their outlooks. Also there doesn't seem to be any specific criteria for declaring one that I know of (maybe someone can correct me on this if there is?).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#27 Postby USTropics » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:48 pm

AnnularCane wrote:
BlowHard wrote:So it's been a year, have I lost my mind? Alzheimers? Didn't the NHC always put "invest" and whatever number on thier 2 and 5 day outlooks? Like we knew when it got to 70% it would be considered an invest? Just curious because I don't want to be thinking it's not an invest for some reason when it really is. Also, I don't know where to find "navy site" so if you could provide me with a link, I would be grateful. No, really, I promise!


I don't think the NHC has ever referred to anything as an invest on their outlooks. Also there doesn't seem to be any specific criteria for declaring one that I know of (maybe someone can correct me on this if there is?).


It's arbitrarily up to NHC when to declare something an invest, and no they do not reference them as Invests in the TWO (TWO is for public consumption, technically invests are used for internal purposes).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#28 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:52 pm

moisture is winning over.. convection starting to build on the north side. over all convection is increasing quite a bit now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#29 Postby CyclonicFury » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:53 pm

I think 96L is still at least 72 hours away from developing.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#30 Postby msbee » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:55 pm

and it looks like it might be heading for us. Trust me, folks, St Maarten can't handle a tropical storm or worse a CAT 1 hurricane. we are still in recovery. Many people are still living under tarps 2 years after Irma. #worried
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#31 Postby BlowHard » Wed Jul 31, 2019 8:29 pm

msbee wrote:and it looks like it might be heading for us. Trust me, folks, St Maarten can't handle a tropical storm or worse a CAT 1 hurricane. we are still in recovery. Many people are still living under tarps 2 years after Irma. #worried

Same for PR. Even a Cat 1 will be devestating.
When I was watching the sat loop today I was thinking that it sure looked like it was trying to spin.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#32 Postby NotSparta » Wed Jul 31, 2019 8:37 pm

Did 96L get dropped or something? I can't find it on https://199.9.2.143/tcdat/sectors/atcf_sector_file
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#33 Postby OuterBanker » Wed Jul 31, 2019 8:38 pm

I know this is off subject but I know that cycloneye monitors this thread.

Cycloneye, are you ok? It looks like PR is still getting pummeled with rain.

What's left of 95l seems to not want to leave you guys alone.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#34 Postby abajan » Wed Jul 31, 2019 8:46 pm

BlowHard wrote:How come I can't find this storm called Invest96L *anywhere* on the NHC page??? Does someone have a link or did you guys just decide it was now an invest on your own? :double:


Storm2K acts more responsibly than that. Trust me.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#35 Postby abajan » Wed Jul 31, 2019 8:51 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

Why does this remind me of a certain Geico commercial with a pig? :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#36 Postby USVIKimmie » Wed Jul 31, 2019 8:54 pm

BlowHard wrote:
msbee wrote:and it looks like it might be heading for us. Trust me, folks, St Maarten can't handle a tropical storm or worse a CAT 1 hurricane. we are still in recovery. Many people are still living under tarps 2 years after Irma. #worried

Same for PR. Even a Cat 1 will be devestating.
When I was watching the sat loop today I was thinking that it sure looked like it was trying to spin.


And I'm between y'all... is the VIs... same thing.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#37 Postby abajan » Wed Jul 31, 2019 8:59 pm

OuterBanker wrote:I know this is off subject but I know that cycloneye monitors this thread.

Cycloneye, are you ok? It looks like PR is still getting pummeled with rain.

What's left of 95l seems to not want to leave you guys alone.


Satellite imagery suggests the rain is affecting the Virgin Islands more than Puerto Rico. But yes, this is indeed off-topic.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#38 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 31, 2019 9:04 pm

Seems to be starting to come together convectively and this will probably be 10 to 20% at the 2 day at 2 AM
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#39 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 31, 2019 9:06 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:Seems to be starting to come together convectively and this will probably be 10 to 20% at the 2 day at 2 AM


Probably going to wake up to a much more organized system...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#40 Postby NDG » Wed Jul 31, 2019 9:25 pm

ASCAT pass only caught the western half of the circulation but clearly shows it is still a broad & weak COC, give it al least another 48-72 hrs.

Image
Image
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