#33 Postby chaser1 » Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:58 am
Aric Dunn wrote:12z HWRF has a hurricane in 24 hours..
Wow, that would be impressive! Now that there is a far more finite COC becoming apparent and better initialized, I think we'll begin to see all models get a better handle on 99L's future evolution. As for (future) Gonzalo's longer term prospects as it approaches and enters the Caribbean, I'm not so sure that conditions will necessarily become that adverse. The pattern is clearly becoming very progressive. On the topic of near term, the only potential condition that I could see hampering continued development, might be easterly shear that could result in the LLC to become exposed to the east of the convection. I see no evidence of that occurring at this point though.
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