Looks like Elsa's consolidating pretty good and wrapping around. Pretty clear it's wrapping around, and I have a gif overlaying satellite and radar showing where the hot towers are on radar, though it might be off centered a bit. Linked as it's essentially a flashing image.
https://i.imgur.com/mpbo6WG.gif
ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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Keldeo1997
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
https://twitter.com/DerekOrtt/status/1411547047346442243
For people thinking that Jamaica's mountains will rip it to shreads might need to think otherwise
For people thinking that Jamaica's mountains will rip it to shreads might need to think otherwise
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AtlanticWind
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I really dont see negative factors that would prevent Elsa from developing in
next 24 hours.
Kind of suprised the models have gone so negative on development.
Once it crosses cuba I expect the weakening.
next 24 hours.
Kind of suprised the models have gone so negative on development.
Once it crosses cuba I expect the weakening.
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AveryTheComrade
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Almost definitely an eye feature of sorts getting more pronounced, convection is warming over the center with a ring of higher cloudtops around it. I wish we had a plane in there right now.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It’s crunch time for Elsa, will it scrape Jamaica?
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
May be making a run for hurricane again, appears to be making the comma shape + towers surrounding the eye, which looks like will avoid Jamaica.
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hurricane2025
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
AveryTheComrade wrote:Almost definitely an eye feature of sorts getting more pronounced, convection is warming over the center with a ring of higher cloudtops around it. I wish we had a plane in there right now.
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/619419338151034911/861147467706138634/58e91b17-c801-4506-9bcc-848855105661.jpeg
Dude it looks horrible
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
hurricane2025 wrote:AveryTheComrade wrote:Almost definitely an eye feature of sorts getting more pronounced, convection is warming over the center with a ring of higher cloudtops around it. I wish we had a plane in there right now.
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/619419338151034911/861147467706138634/58e91b17-c801-4506-9bcc-848855105661.jpeg
Dude it looks horrible
I guess you haven’t been watching the IR throughout the day, this is the best Elsa has looked in awhile.
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hurricane2025
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Bocadude85 wrote:hurricane2025 wrote:AveryTheComrade wrote:Almost definitely an eye feature of sorts getting more pronounced, convection is warming over the center with a ring of higher cloudtops around it. I wish we had a plane in there right now.
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/619419338151034911/861147467706138634/58e91b17-c801-4506-9bcc-848855105661.jpeg
I think it looks worse than it did 7 hours ago when I looked at it, radar can be deceiving
Dude it looks horrible
I guess you haven’t been watching the IR throughout the day, this is the best Elsa has looked in awhile.
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
hurricane2025 wrote:AveryTheComrade wrote:Almost definitely an eye feature of sorts getting more pronounced, convection is warming over the center with a ring of higher cloudtops around it. I wish we had a plane in there right now.
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/619419338151034911/861147467706138634/58e91b17-c801-4506-9bcc-848855105661.jpeg
Dude it looks horrible
Huh? Looks to ramping back up to me
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
ADT is also noticing the improved structure and now has Elsa at CI# 3.4, pressure 993.4 mbar, Vmax 53 kt, which is the highest it's been since Elsa's initial peak.
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AveryTheComrade
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
kevin wrote:ADT is also noticing the improved structure and now has Elsa at CI# 3.4, pressure 993.4 mbar, Vmax 53 kt, which is the highest it's been since Elsa's initial peak.
Extremely off on the center location though
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It may miss Jamaica by a hair
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Outflow improving some.
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Where can we get updated microwave imagery besides https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html?
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Keldeo1997
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Hmmm
Last edited by Keldeo1997 on Sun Jul 04, 2021 3:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
sikkar wrote:Where can we get updated microwave imagery besides https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html?
FNMOC TC
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RIP Kobe Bryant
Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Kingarabian wrote:sikkar wrote:Where can we get updated microwave imagery besides https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html?
FNMOC TC
Thanks.
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AveryTheComrade
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Re: ATL: ELSA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Warming over that point too, looks like a real eye starting to come on. Plane can't come any sooner.
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