ATL: DANNY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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BensonTCwatcher
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#81 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Mon Jun 28, 2021 7:12 am

https://col.st/Z3xx3

Glad this didn't have any more time than it did. Clearly sheared and not enough time before heading inland to really get going. Rainy and breezy but also a reminder (Isaias) that things can escalate quickly near shore. Still putting the marina back together here
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#82 Postby AlphaToOmega » Mon Jun 28, 2021 7:15 am

Remember this? Storms can form over land.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#83 Postby Nancy Smar » Mon Jun 28, 2021 8:56 am

AL042021 - Tropical Depression FOUR
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#84 Postby Nancy Smar » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:09 am

Special Message from NHC Issued 28 Jun 2021 14:08 UTC
NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Four, located off the coast of South Carolina, at 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#85 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:10 am

ChrisH-UK wrote:96L has become decoupled over night with the convective development been to the west and circulation been to the east.

GOES-16 Meso Sector Red and Clean IR Band 11:20UTC

https://i.imgur.com/trXrb3g.png



This may be the only compliment this ever gets, but that is a flat-out gorgeous swirl. :)
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression Four - Discussion

#86 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:17 am

Exposed low-level swirl alert for GA/SC.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression Four - Discussion

#87 Postby Nancy Smar » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:20 am

AL, 04, 2021062812, , BEST, 0, 315N, 776W, 30, 1013, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1017, 120, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, FOUR, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 009, TRANSITIONED, alA62021 to al042021,
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#88 Postby aspen » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:22 am

AnnularCane wrote:
ChrisH-UK wrote:96L has become decoupled over night with the convective development been to the west and circulation been to the east.

GOES-16 Meso Sector Red and Clean IR Band 11:20UTC

https://i.imgur.com/trXrb3g.png



This may be the only compliment this ever gets, but that is a flat-out gorgeous swirl. :)

Certainly a better swirl than Claudette.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression Four - Discussion

#89 Postby AlphaToOmega » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:29 am

Tropical Depression 04L is still over waters that allow for intensification of tropical cyclones. When it reaches the coast, the wetlands of Georgia and South Carolina might allow for further intensification, but that is definitely not something I would bet on happening. However, if all the stars align in its favor, it could become a weak tropical storm.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression Four - Discussion

#90 Postby abajan » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:37 am

wxman57 wrote:Exposed low-level swirl alert for GA/SC.

:lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#91 Postby HurricaneBelle » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:46 am

When the swirl passes, GA/SC residents may experience a period of calm, but do not be fooled. Within minutes, 10-15 MPH winds from the opposite direction will begin.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#92 Postby abajan » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:50 am

HurricaneBelle wrote:When the swirl passes, GA/SC residents may experience a period of calm, but do not be fooled. Within minutes, 10-15 MPH winds from the opposite direction will begin.

PHPBB needs to add a laugh reaction, instead of just a Like This button. :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#93 Postby abajan » Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:55 am

AlphaToOmega wrote:Remember this? Storms can form over land.

We don't even need to go that far back. Claudette did that.
EDIT: Actually, Claudette was already a tropical storm before landfall. But it continued to intensify over land.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#94 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 28, 2021 10:01 am

HurricaneBelle wrote:When the swirl passes, GA/SC residents may experience a period of calm, but do not be fooled. Within minutes, 10-15 MPH winds from the opposite direction will begin.


Stop it! You're scaring the coastal residents.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#95 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Jun 28, 2021 10:13 am

Unexpected tropical depression is unexpected.

I doubt this gets to TS strength personally.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#96 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Mon Jun 28, 2021 10:30 am

abajan wrote:
AlphaToOmega wrote:Remember this? Storms can form over land.

We don't even need to go that far back. Claudette did that.
EDIT: Actually, Claudette was already a tropical storm before landfall. But it continued to intensify over land.


I respectfully disagree. That squally rainstorm never did have a "well defined center" unless you call some indistinct nebulous region about 150 or more miles across a "well defined center" -- at least not until the "swirl" showed up when it was clearly on land.

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Flossy 56, Audrey 57, Hilda 64*, Betsy 65*, Camille 69*, Edith 71, Carmen 74, Bob 79, Danny, 85, Elena 85, Juan 85, Florence 88, Andrew 92*, Opal 95, Danny 97, Georges 98*, Isidore 02, Lili 02, Ivan 04, Cindy 05*, Dennis 05, Katrina 05*, Gustav 08*, Isaac 12*, Nate 17, Barry 19, Cristobal 20, Marco, 20, Sally, 20, Zeta 20*, Claudette 21 IDA* 21

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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#97 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Mon Jun 28, 2021 10:33 am

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Unexpected tropical depression is unexpected.

I doubt this gets to TS strength personally.

https://i.imgur.com/jFJABCA.jpg


Actually, and I know I'm getting OLD... but that looks better than Ana did when they named her! I am of a strong opinion this becomes Danny.


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Flossy 56, Audrey 57, Hilda 64*, Betsy 65*, Camille 69*, Edith 71, Carmen 74, Bob 79, Danny, 85, Elena 85, Juan 85, Florence 88, Andrew 92*, Opal 95, Danny 97, Georges 98*, Isidore 02, Lili 02, Ivan 04, Cindy 05*, Dennis 05, Katrina 05*, Gustav 08*, Isaac 12*, Nate 17, Barry 19, Cristobal 20, Marco, 20, Sally, 20, Zeta 20*, Claudette 21 IDA* 21

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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#98 Postby OuterBanker » Mon Jun 28, 2021 10:56 am

Lol, this reminds me of a storm a few years ago that made landfall in Wilmington and decoupled. They received about five inches in rain. It decoupled and moved over us. Turned out a beautiful partly cloudy day and you could observe the rotation. :D
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#99 Postby AlphaToOmega » Mon Jun 28, 2021 11:26 am

If this reaches tropical status during the next two days, we will have three storms in June. That would probably be a record.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#100 Postby ncforecaster89 » Mon Jun 28, 2021 11:54 am

AlphaToOmega wrote:If this reaches tropical status during the next two days, we will have three storms in June. That would probably be a record.


It will tie the official record with the 1886, 1909, 1936, & 1968 seasons with three June tropical storms. Of course, 1886 stands out with all 3 of the TC’s being Hurricanes, amazingly.
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