ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2381 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:26 pm

898.6 extrap!
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2382 Postby Soluna16 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

902 mbar 190 mph
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2383 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

tropicwatch wrote:Eye is about to disappear on IR. I would say EWRC.

https://tropicwatch.info/1007242022z.mp4


Or pinhole. Recon will tell.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2384 Postby craptacular » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

I often track flights for friends, family, etc. on Flightaware. I'm glad the location / radar image I'm looking at now for Kermit is not one of theirs!
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2385 Postby NDG » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

898.6mb extrap pressure!

221730 2156N 09031W 6954 02918 9714 +135 +148 151081 087 /// /// 05
221800 2155N 09033W 6961 02853 9647 +140 +151 150100 107 /// /// 05
221830 2154N 09034W 6927 02785 9499 +167 +151 152121 127 /// /// 03
221900 2153N 09036W 6722 02847 9245 +213 +163 160124 135 /// /// 03
221930 2152N 09038W 6685 02738 9127 +157 +156 165080 123 /// /// 05
222000 2151N 09039W 6805 02477 8986 +217 +150 184024 064 /// /// 03
222030 2150N 09041W 6998 02249 8986 +248 +171 308052 075 /// /// 03
222100 2149N 09043W 6975 02445 9193 +178 +186 322141 162 /// /// 05
222130 2148N 09044W 6975 02660 9450 +141 +171 326154 161 /// /// 05
222200 2148N 09046W 7136 02586 9590 +142 +156 329129 146 /// /// 05
222230 2147N 09048W 7144 02660 9657 +167 +159 326107 118 /// /// 03
222300 2146N 09049W 7169 02672 9692 +179 +151 331097 101 /// /// 03
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2386 Postby Frank P » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

901, take it to the bank
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2387 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

I'd say it is about 895 mb given that the plane missed the true center (winds never got below hurricane force). As far as intensity, I'd have to say that those are underestimated and I would go 165 kt.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2388 Postby Exalt » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

chaser1 wrote:
Exalt wrote:
aspen wrote:Place your bets everyone, what will recon find?

I’m going with the very lowest 900s with evidence of an outer eyewall.


889mb, 190MPH.


That was my guess a couple hours ago. That's fine, I'll share :lol:


Had to price is right everyone guessing 890 :lol:
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2389 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

BOOM!!!! Sub 900?!
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2390 Postby zal0phus » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:898.6 extrap!

Are they rounding this up or down? Can't believe this
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2391 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

Extrap 898.6 probably lower they missed the eye.
Last edited by tropicwatch on Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2392 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

Right below 900 mb! Might be first sub-900 Atlantic storm since Wilma.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2393 Postby WaveBreaking » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:27 pm

HOLY SH*T

Image
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2394 Postby kevin » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm

898.6 mb with 64 kt FL winds. We have our first sub-900 mb hurricane since Wilma.
Last edited by kevin on Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2395 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm

Still 64kts so they missed the center it's probably even lower than that
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2396 Postby bob rulz » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm

Sub-900, wow! Not surprised given the presentation.

NHC website is back up for now. I'm expecting a special advisory shortly.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2397 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm

Frank P wrote:901, take it to the bank


Recon reported 898.6 just before you posted lol
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2398 Postby zal0phus » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm

We now have a new top-5 strongest hurricane. What a night
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2399 Postby Zonacane » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm

Could be as low as 891, hard to get the exact center of a pinhole
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 180 mph

#2400 Postby KWT » Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:28 pm

Well at least extrap is sub 900mbs.

Given the winds probably 895mbs is closer to the mark, though a dropsonde will seal the deal.

Welcome to the historic club Milton...
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