ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4681 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:22 pm

Absolutely insane tornado outbreak occurring in Florida.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4682 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:22 pm

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4683 Postby Mike33534 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:22 pm

TampaWxLurker wrote:Looks like the start of an east wobble on radar.

yep, started a bit ago. So i guess they were right heh, if it doesn't come any further north, we'll have dodged a bullet.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4684 Postby piffer28 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:24 pm



That is terrifying.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4685 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:24 pm

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4686 Postby NDG » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:24 pm

Some of the Highest wind gusts so far:

Downtown St Pete airport: 59 mph
Naples airport: 53 mph
Clearwater/St Pete Airport: 52 mph
Ochopee: 50 mph
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4687 Postby jhpigott » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:25 pm

This is crazy. I'm in NE Palm Beach County. There are tornados everywhere. One just crossed into Martin County. Somebody got it on camera and dang thing looked like a wedge.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4688 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:25 pm

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4689 Postby kevin » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:26 pm

Eye warming up on IR:

Image
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4690 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:27 pm

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4691 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:28 pm

jhpigott wrote:This is crazy. I'm in NE Palm Beach County. There are tornados everywhere. One just crossed into Martin County. Somebody got it on camera and dang thing looked like a wedge.


I’m a few miles north of you and it’s bonkers right now. They’re all over radar and keep coming.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4692 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:29 pm

These are some big-ass tornadoes. Something one would see in the Midwest, not in a hurricane,
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4693 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:29 pm

I didn't realize it had already dropped to 130 mph. Since a cat 2 is only 20 mph lower, I think it should be able to easily get down to that by landfall. Cat 2 is probably as low as it can go though. Obviously still dangerous, but we also have to look for anything encouraging when it comes to these storms.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4694 Postby bythetrack » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:30 pm

ronjon wrote:There are now 12 active tornado warnings over south-central Florida.

One after the other here for the last hour. Still have power as of now.
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From Andrew on in the south west , central and nature coast of Fla.

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4695 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:31 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:I didn't realize it had already dropped to 130 mph. Since a cat 2 is only 20 mph lower, I think it should be able to easily get down to that by landfall. Cat 2 is probably as low as it can go though. Obviously still dangerous, but we also have to look for anything encouraging when it comes to these storms.

It is starting to possibly re-intensify. Radar is looking better and better, and the CDO is cooling again.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4696 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:31 pm

saved loop
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4697 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:32 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:I didn't realize it had already dropped to 130 mph. Since a cat 2 is only 20 mph lower, I think it should be able to easily get down to that by landfall. Cat 2 is probably as low as it can go though. Obviously still dangerous, but we also have to look for anything encouraging when it comes to these storms.


I dont know how much any of that is going to matter with the amount of tornadoes we’re seeing. The surge will still be immense too. This is one awful storm.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4698 Postby Hugo1989 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:32 pm

I'm in Bradenton closed to the bay and this system is releasing a lot of energy.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4699 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:33 pm

This is what I was afraid of.
A very powerful hurricane interacting with a negative tilt trof.
I also wonder if the ionospheric heating currently over the area plays a role in this as well.

 https://x.com/Mighty__Muffins/status/1844082971755806837

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4700 Postby Texashawk » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:33 pm

ronjon wrote:There are now 12 active tornado warnings over south-central Florida.


The one saving grace about the tornado situation is that it’s during the day. When we went through Harvey, Beryl, and Ike (all at night of course!) the tornado warnings were issued so fast and the tornados were so quick that you didn’t have time to decide to go to your shelter - if you were under the tornado warning you had to shelter because there was no time or way to verify the situation. Cold comfort, but it’s something.
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