NATL: MELISSA - Aftermath - Discussion: Josh Morgerman video of Melissa is up

[Beef Stew]

She's a shell of what she was, but Melissa certainly isn't giving up without a fight. She's not pretty at the moment, but I've certainly seen worse after spending a day over the mountains of Cuba.

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1983622189057503456

[GCANE]

Very rapid CDO expansion.
Maybe be forming an eye on IR

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

[GCANE]

Recon has a way to go.
Will be very interesting to see what pans out

[cheezyWXguy]

Even in its lackluster state, this system’s ability to generate deep convection is pretty impressive.

[PavelGaborik10]

 https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1983622189057503456

Man, looks more like tornado damage.

Those winds must have been absolutely insane

[ljmac75]

In the eyewall Montego Bay

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R27gedc9V1s

Looks pretty strong. How high do winds need to be for a whiteout like that?

[TallyTracker]

The NHC is showing 10 kts of intensification within the next 24 hours. They note it could be low since several hurricane models have Melissa becoming a major hurricane again.

[TallyTracker]

 https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1983622189057503456

Not only are the buildings destroyed, but the trees are also denuded or snapped. That is something I only typically have seen from Cat 5 landfall imagery. That is heartbreaking.

[PavelGaborik10]

In the eyewall Montego Bay

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R27gedc9V1s

Looks super strong, but definitely nowhere near what the most battered areas got as the peak came ashore, those areas have been completely flattened.

[Travorum]

Here's an overview of Melissa's structural evolution as it crossed over Jamaica and Cuba as shown in microwave imagery. You can see how the inner core actually managed to survive with its structure intact, but the land interaction precipitated the outer band developing into a secondary eyewall of sorts. I'm not sure but this might be because the outer bands in the NE were over water before the core was, I recall those bands producing deep convection right as Melissa cleared Jamaica. You can then see the mountains in Cuba finally destroy the inner core's structure and those outer bands/proto-secondary eyewall begin to contract down and form the new, broader core that's open in the SE/SW.

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

 https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1983622189057503456

Lots of debris and some damaged roofs but most of the walls are standing. That’s what happens when you build with concrete. Florida take note.

[Ubuntwo]

Among the worst damage I have seen in any hurricane. This is gut wrenching.
 https://x.com/WxNB_/status/1983650175358042222

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/weatherdak/status/1983629157381894297

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/weatherdak/status/1983629157381894297

Details here

https://satlib.cira.colostate.edu/weath ... ovortices/

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/WxNB_/status/1983282541944607176

[Travorum]

This is a great summary of the entirety of Melissa's lifespan up to Cuba:

 https://x.com/burgwx/status/1983658518277451813

[cheezyWXguy]

 https://x.com/weatherdak/status/1983629157381894297

Details here

https://satlib.cira.colostate.edu/weath ... ovortices/

Wow I’ve never seen a view like this where the pov is fixed to the mesos before. Feel like I’m in a washing machine.

[cheezyWXguy]

Here's an overview of Melissa's structural evolution as it crossed over Jamaica and Cuba as shown in microwave imagery. You can see how the inner core actually managed to survive with its structure intact, but the land interaction precipitated the outer band developing into a secondary eyewall of sorts. I'm not sure but this might be because the outer bands in the NE were over water before the core was, I recall those bands producing deep convection right as Melissa cleared Jamaica. You can then see the mountains in Cuba finally destroy the inner core's structure and those outer bands/proto-secondary eyewall begin to contract down and form the new, broader core that's open in the SE/SW.

https://i.imgur.com/reocRoo.jpeg	https://i.imgur.com/O0xRIfq.jpeg	https://i.imgur.com/8meDGXd.png
https://i.imgur.com/xM89kcc.jpeg	https://i.imgur.com/T6Zbqcx.png	https://i.imgur.com/2mDxT1p.jpeg

It’s pretty amazing how well Melissa’s core was able to maintain over the maintains of Jamaica despite how much the surface circulation must have been impeded at that time. This hurricane needs to be studied extensively for a number of reasons, including this one. It’s fortunate that Melissa had so little time over water before making second landfall in Cuba, it’s scary to think how much it might have rebounded with another 24 hours given a structure like that.

[Sanibel]

The scenes of devastation coming in from Black River and St Elizabeth are incredible...Definitely category 5...