bye bye TD 10

[ConvergenceZone]

I think the dissapointment comes from overly high expectations set by the NHC and the Weather Channel. I've heard both of them mentioned this season that unlike previous seasons, tropical action may not stop once it gets going. Even Lyons said that conditions were in place for the season to be active from start to finish without the lulls that's normally seen in seasons. So I think are expectations were set too high by these folks. So while it's still an active season, it's not quite as crazy like they were saying it would be. We just got an early active start before it retreated back to normal.

[floridahurricaneguy]

You moved to the wrong place . Tampa hasnt had a hurricane in 84 years.

LOL... I've tried to tell him that.

Behind the Georgia coast, Tampa is the safest place on the coast.

haha

I think I know that. I am not expecting one to hit Tampa. But you have to realize almost every active year Tampa feels good effects from one because many cross the state. Thats what I am expecting. I am not dumb.

Matt

[WeatherEmperor]

I think the dissapointment comes from overly high expectations set by the NHC and the Weather Channel. I've heard both of them mentioned this season that unlike previous seasons, tropical action may not stop once it gets going. Even Lyons said that conditions were in place for the season to be active from start to finish without the lulls that's normally seen in seasons. So I think are expectations were set too high by these folks. So while it's still an active season, it's not quite as crazy like they were saying it would be. We just got an early active start before it retreated back to normal.

You are right. We got off to a very hot start and things are starting to go back to normal. Doesnt mean that the remainder of the season will be quiet, but rather that we can see development similar to the past few years.

<RICKY>

[NastyCat4]

o be honest, my hopes of catching 1933 with this hurricane season are fading as TD#10 dissipates... Why? This means we still need THREE named storms before the end of August. If TD#10 had become Jose, then we would've had only 2 remaining... However... Since this is not the case, i'm closing the doors on this possibly being a record season.

Who has any "hopes" of catching 1933? Not I.

[x-y-no]

12Z Euro has similar synoptic setup to the 0z run I posted about above, but loses the surface feature by day 5.

[TS Zack]

SAL, unfavorable MJO, bad karma....

Last year people were complaining about the SAL. It looks to me the SAL has gone bye bye!

MJO going into a wet phase.

People just have to be patient. Everyone wants 5 named storms are one time.

Ain't gunna happn! "Nawlins Talk"

[ConvergenceZone]

I think we just want to see one STRONG storm spinning in the Atlantic, even if it's a fish. Watching a storm going from wave to storm to cat 1, cat 2, cat 3 etc...is exciting even if it is a fish. I think that's all we are looking for. The last couple have been so boring, both in apperance and intensity that the excitement they generate is short lived.

[cinlfla]

I think we just want to see one STRONG storm spinning in the Atlantic, even if it's a fish. Watching a storm going from wave to storm to cat 1, cat 2, cat 3 etc...is exciting even if it is a fish.

I agree!!!

[Brent]

I think we just want to see one STRONG storm spinning in the Atlantic, even if it's a fish. Watching a storm going from wave to storm to cat 1, cat 2, cat 3 etc...is exciting even if it is a fish. I think that's all we are looking for. The last couple have been so boring, both in apperance and intensity that the excitement they generate is short lived.

Exactly.

[JTD]

Hurricane Fabian in 2003 was a fascinating hurricane even though it was a fish for conus. That kind of hurricane is what we need right now (except with it missing Bermuda this time)

But, take a look at the latest National Geographic, and see that young girl crying over the house that she's lived in for 20 years that has just been totally destroyed.

Remember when you hope for a strong hurricane or for a storm that is not a fish, you are de facto hoping for the above.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The LLC looks strong enough to me. In with every new convection cell forming over it it grows stronger. This is alot more then we can say about Bonnie last year.

[artist]

everyone needs to check out the Tropical Analysis forum for the pros and analysts thoughts on this.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewforum.php?f=29