2005 - An odd season so far

[dhweather]

Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irene - all 70MPH tropical storms.

Dennis and Emily - both Category 4 monsters.

Now TD10, which did not make it 24 hours.

[EDR1222]

I think there will be 5-6 more named storms. It will be interesting to see if the steering patterns start to change as we get close to September.

A strange season indeed!

[WindRunner]

I have to say 7+ because late Aug and Sept haven't arrived yet, and (as everyone knows) we could really fire up then, as well as a couple in nov.

[JamesFromMaine2]

I am thinking that we MIGHT see development right into December giving the extreme above normal SSTs! I also think that come end of this month through October development will pick up! So I have to say 7+ more named storms!

[Frank2]

Yes, I agree - well, as the Bible says, there's a reason for everything, and, as mentioned elsewhere on the board, with gasoline nearing $3 a gallon, it would be very bad indeed if we had the same rush or need for gasoline here in Florida as we did last year at this time, when the police were often called to stand guard at local gas stations to control the many short tempers.

Frank

[wxmann_91]

5-6, half of them occurring in October and/or November. No more storms this month, and only 2 or 3 in September at most.

[Opal storm]

I say 7+

I think we'll have another explosion of storms late this month into September.

[webke]

I will say 7+, it is still early in the seaason with the peak yet to come. I feel that therre will be at least two more named storm this month and that Sept. will have 3-4, and Oct. wil surprise us with 2-3 named storms.

Ken

[webke]

I will say 7+, it is still early in the seaason with the peak yet to come. I feel that therre will be at least two more named storm this month and that Sept. will have 3-4, and Oct. wil surprise us with 2-3 named storms.

Ken

[deltadog03]

i have to say a cat 2 in december after an artic front came through the south....heavy snow for everyone!!!!!

[hurricanefreak1988]

7+. Nothing's changed. We're just entering the peak of the season now.

[dwg71]

I voted 7+, I think we will have exactly7. The odd thing about this year is 9/2/2.

[Swimdude]

Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irene - all 70MPH tropical storms.

Dennis and Emily - both Category 4 monsters.

Now TD10, which did not make it 24 hours.

Actually... Bret and Gert were 40mph TS's... And Harvey was 65mph...

I'm sure you knew that. But nevertheless, the point is the same.

We're at 9/2/2.

[Andrew92]

On top of that, Irene might be upgraded to a hurricane at 5. It is definitely showing a hint of an eye.

I also say 7+. While conditions may be unfavorable for the most part for now, I expect that to gradually change as we get closer to September. If that happens, I wonder if we'll have a fairly active September.

-Andrew92

[Swimdude]

Hmmm you are right about Irene...

That would be nice, wouldn't it?

And who the heck voted for no more storms this year?

[NastyCat4]

Brett and Gert would not have been named in the "old days," prior to satelite tracking. So, theoretically, there have been 7 "genuine storms" of which two were significant hurricanes--quite strange.

[senorpepr]

I posted this in another thread and I'll post it again here...

Here's a thought... from 1995 to 2004, excluding 1997, we averaged 3.3 named storms prior to Aug 15. We are nearly three times that amount now. Aug 15 and after over the same time frame -- we average 11.2 named storms. Apply that average to what we have so far and we're looking at 20 named storms.

Matter of fact, below is a breakdown of 1995-2004, the amount of storms prior to Aug 15, the amount of storms from Aug 15 to the end of the year, and then 2005's nine named storms added to that Aug 15 and after number. If this season stays "normal," as compared to the past decade, we're still looking at a playing in the 1995 & 1933 league. However... if the remaining part of the season is as active as it already as been... we better brush up on our Greek Alphabet, because we're going to see several storms come from it.

We shall see...

Code: Select all

A= Storms prior to Aug 15
B= Storm Aug 15 and after
C= 2005 YTD + year's storms Aug 15 and after

      A   B   C
1995  07  12  21
1996  03  10  19
1997  05  03  12
1998  01  13  22
1999  01  11  20
2000  02  13  22
2001  03  12  21
2002  03  09  18
2003  05  11  20
2004  05  10  19

[wxwatcher91]

truely we have up to 15 more storms to look forward to... I wonder how many times this season a thread will be made suggesting this season will let us down... probably more than even the number of tropical storms and that will be saying something considering we are in for a bunch

[Dr. Jonah Rainwater]

Bret and Gert WOULD have been named in 1995. Don't write this season off at all.

[hurricanefreak1988]

(everything that further proves...)

...that you guys (especially wxmann_91) should not be writing off the season like this. Come on, we haven't even gotten to the peak of the season yet! How can you say that the activity is going to drop? T.D. Ten fizzled; big deal. That doesn't mean the environment in that area is going to stay that way. I'm still confident that this will be the year that we finally go all the way. Like I've said several times before- Alpha, see you in October or November.