Is my area of the gulf going to shut down?

[LaBreeze]

Some areas of the GOM are already just above 90 degrees. Hmmm, could get interesting later on in the season.

[jasons2k]

Well, the front up there THIS week isn't progged to make it to the GOM.

But the one NEXT week might make it offshore.

To answer the original question, as a general rule, fronts start pushing offshore here in TX by the beginning of October, effectively ending our Hurricane season as any systems that do form in the GOM are shunted off the E or NE.

Just off the top of my head, I think there has been only one October Hurricane on record in TX, but both August and September have been active months here just like everywhere else.

In summary, we are still at risk until the westerlies get established at this latitude, which is usually the end of September/beginning of October.

[alicia-w]

we went to the beach yesterday morning and the water was like bath water. it was SO warm!! it's awful since it contributes to algae bloom and other unpleasantries.

[N2Storms]

Another thing about the extremely high GOM SSTs is that it will take a little longer for the SST to subside below the point at which they will sustain a TC (in the N. GOMEX)...usually sometime in Nov we see the SSTs drop below 75 degrees...this year barring any extreme cool snaps in early Nov we might still see SSTs around 77 or 78 which is plenty warm to sustain any TC that may venture into the N GOMEX...

[Jim Cantore]

I remember those storms and many more quite clearly HFloyd....

My response to you was about the SST's and how the atmospheric conditions ultimately will be the deciding factor.

The Gulf of Mexico has been a "giant bathtub" for many years.

I've never seen the GOM this warm in my life and it's mid august

Water temps by early september could be near 95 in spots and with no inhibiting factors......

Lets just hope it doesn't happen