SST's - Gulf ready to boil

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dhweather
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SST's - Gulf ready to boil

#1 Postby dhweather » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:18 pm

That's an unbelieveable area of 86+ degree water. If anything gets into the gulf...... it's gonna pop.

<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/sst.gif">
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#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:21 pm

those are very warm waters indeed.

<RICKY>
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#3 Postby jasons2k » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:22 pm

Here's a beauty:

Image
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#4 Postby hicksta » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:23 pm

Our lord who art in heaven...
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#5 Postby dwg71 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:28 pm

Yes they are warm, but are they above average. I believe on the JB videos he always starts with a map that shows where the water is above normal. It shows off the coast of FL and then off the coast of NC. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I dont think those temps are unusual.

In the past 10 years (the active decade) we've only had 5 US Gulf coast landfalling hurricanes from storms that formed after 8/20. But we had 16 TS make landfall during that same time. So less than 1 in 4 even reach hurricane force.
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#6 Postby MetroMike » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:29 pm

OMG! That huge red graphic popped onto my screen and was a bit frightening for a few seconds.

Anyone up for boiling hot dogs off my fishing boat in the gulf this weekend.
:lol:
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#7 Postby dhweather » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:37 pm

Add in the 26 degree isotherm.....

<img src="http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2005227god26.png">
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#8 Postby dwg71 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:38 pm

These are impressive, but are they abnormally high?
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#9 Postby alicia-w » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:38 pm

dwg71 wrote:Yes they are warm, but are they above average. I believe on the JB videos he always starts with a map that shows where the water is above normal. It shows off the coast of FL and then off the coast of NC. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I dont think those temps are unusual.

In the past 10 years (the active decade) we've only had 5 US Gulf coast landfalling hurricanes from storms that formed after 8/20. But we had 16 TS make landfall during that same time. So less than 1 in 4 even reach hurricane force.


If you knew anything about the condition of the beachs along the panhandle of florida, you would know that ANY number of tropical storms, let alone hurricanes, will cause more devastation. Quite a number of foundations are already undermined and any additional surge activity will create a helluva impact.
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#10 Postby djtexillini » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:41 pm

warm water is just but a part of the equation, and probably not the largest part.
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#11 Postby dwg71 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:42 pm

alicia-w wrote:
dwg71 wrote:Yes they are warm, but are they above average. I believe on the JB videos he always starts with a map that shows where the water is above normal. It shows off the coast of FL and then off the coast of NC. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I dont think those temps are unusual.

In the past 10 years (the active decade) we've only had 5 US Gulf coast landfalling hurricanes from storms that formed after 8/20. But we had 16 TS make landfall during that same time. So less than 1 in 4 even reach hurricane force.


If you knew anything about the condition of the beachs along the panhandle of florida, you would know that ANY number of tropical storms, let alone hurricanes, will cause more devastation. Quite a number of foundations are already undermined and any additional surge activity will create a helluva impact.


I'm not sure of the meaning of your reply, and I am aware of the beach devestation. We frequest PCB and I drove 1-10 to WDW quite a bit and have seen the damage. Also, I have a beachhouse in Galveston and know that it doesnt take much to erode the beach and also the retaining geotubes that are in place.

I'm only stating that just because the water is warm in the Gulf, doesnt automatically mean that TS are going to explode into Hurricanes. I'm trying to find out if these SST are a great deal different from the norm.
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#12 Postby alicia-w » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:06 pm

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#13 Postby dwg71 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:07 pm

Does anybody know if the sst's are out of the ordinary for this time of the year?
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#14 Postby jasons2k » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:21 pm

dwg71 wrote:Does anybody know if the sst's are out of the ordinary for this time of the year?


https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/NCO ... nomaly.gif

Tad on the warm side
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#15 Postby dwg71 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:23 pm

jschlitz wrote:
dwg71 wrote:Does anybody know if the sst's are out of the ordinary for this time of the year?


https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/NCO ... nomaly.gif

Tad on the warm side


That's the map I was referencing, thanks. I'm not alarmed by the temps, they seem to be pretty close to normal. I takes a lot more than SST's to have a system "pop"
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#16 Postby NorthGaWeather » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:24 pm

dwg71 wrote:Yes they are warm, but are they above average. I believe on the JB videos he always starts with a map that shows where the water is above normal.


Yes its above average. One of the Buoys was reporting SST's in the mid 90s a week or so ago.
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#17 Postby dwg71 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:25 pm

NorthGaWeather wrote:
dwg71 wrote:Yes they are warm, but are they above average. I believe on the JB videos he always starts with a map that shows where the water is above normal.


Yes its above average. One of the Buoys was reporting SST's in the mid 90s a week or so ago.


see above map, they seem to be in line with this time of the year.
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#18 Postby NorthGaWeather » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:27 pm

dwg71 wrote:
NorthGaWeather wrote:
dwg71 wrote:Yes they are warm, but are they above average. I believe on the JB videos he always starts with a map that shows where the water is above normal.


Yes its above average. One of the Buoys was reporting SST's in the mid 90s a week or so ago.


see above map, they seem to be in line with this time of the year.


I saw it, look a few degrees above average too me.
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#19 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:32 pm

The waters are very very very warm off the FL east coast as well. I was just watching my local weather station say that the waters are like 89F which is 3 degrees above average for this time of year and the easterly flow is causing the heat index to go up to around 105F. I can only imagine what would happen if a tropical cyclone would move over those waters on there way here.

<RICKY>
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du1st

#20 Postby du1st » Tue Aug 16, 2005 4:33 pm

This has been said a billon times. We know there are high SST's but the rest of the equation doesn't add up.
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