TD 10...Back Again

[BensonTCwatcher]

I'd say I agree with MW's estimate of 67% for redevelopment. TD10 will keep chugging like an old steam engine puffing convection for at least 12 more hours, then it will probably strenghthen and get clobbered by shear for a day or so.

More interesrting is the overall motion appears to be much more W since the new center formed earlier today.

[Scorpion]

Whats wrong with comparing it to Andrew? Almost same time period, sheared to bits, heading toward FL. If the ridge gets strong, then the scenario would almost be complete.

[du1st]

TD 10 looks like Irene to me.

[WeatherEmperor]

Well then I guess we should compare every single tropical cyclone that forms this season to Andrew then. Better yet, compare every future tropical cyclone that will form from here until the end of time to Andrew. lol i dont get it whats the point of doing that. lol!

<RICKY>

[NastyCat4]

Whats wrong with comparing it to Andrew? Almost same time period, sheared to bits, heading toward FL. If the ridge gets strong, then the scenario would almost be complete.

What is wrong with it? Andrew was a once-in-a-lifetime catastrophic storm--evidently, you are too young, or not experienced enough to realize that trivializing a situation such as Andrew by comparing it to a struggling fledgling depression is inappropriate. Might TD 10 become a storm? Yes. Might it even become a hurricane. Possibly. However, to compare the situation to one of the most serious and imposing disasters ever to befall the USA is just not suitable for casual conversation. There have only been 3 storms to hit the USA of the magnitude of Andrew, and hopefully that will not be repeated in the near future.

[du1st]

TD 10 most likely will not be andrew.

[du1st]

she may not regenerate.

[sma10]

Whats wrong with comparing it to Andrew? Almost same time period, sheared to bits, heading toward FL. If the ridge gets strong, then the scenario would almost be complete.

If you look at the 150 years of tracks that are available there was never once a track that did exactly what Andrew did except Andrew. It would make you think that particular track is fairly unlikely.

[jkt21787]

I think to compare a system, not even a depression, to one of the most powerful and THE most destructive hurricane on record is absurd.

However, lets lay off the bashes. People say "no malice intended" yet keep rolling their eyes.

[WeatherEmperor]

Convection seems to be firing right near where the center is. But we saw that happen early this morning as well only to have most of it blown away by shear. Just to point out.

<RICKY>

[NastyCat4]

Not meaning to be insulting or personal--it is just that the comparison of any "budding" storm with Andrew is tantamount to comparing a school yard fist fight with the Battle of Iwo Jima, or Frazier-Ali (the "Thrilla-in-Manilla).

[Ivanhater]

Scopian this storm I can guarntee you will not be Andrew. I don't know why this annoys me so much but people comparing dying storms to the most costly disater in American history is a little absurd.

ok, we heard you...it could be said that saying something will not be this or that is absurd as well...no one thought andrew would do what it did, so dont make absolute statements.....so lets get back on topic

[Deenac813]

I think to compare a system, not even a depression, to one of the most powerful and THE most destructive hurricane on record is absurd.

However, lets lay off the bashes. People say "no malice intended" yet keep rolling their eyes.

Comparing this "thing" to Andrew I am not. However, after going through Andrew I keep my eyes peeled for anything in that area, out of fear.

[x-y-no]

Night falls ... time for the remnant of TD10 to have another convective flare ...

[floridahurricaneguy]

So you all think it will redevelop? Deffinitely looks like it could be bound for Florida. Hope its not any thing like the Andrew scenario.

Matt

lol oh boy another Andrew comparison.

<RICKY>

Thats funny because I was not comparing it to Andrew and to do that would be absurd. I said I hope its not that scenario. Thanks for changing what I said.

Matt

[Ivanhater]

now that is impressive

[du1st]

Scopian this storm I can guarntee you will not be Andrew. I don't know why this annoys me so much but people comparing dying storms to the most costly disater in American history is a little absurd.

ok, we heard you...it could be said that saying something will not be this or that is absurd as well...no one thought andrew would do what it did, so dont make absolute statements.....so lets get back on topic

Got a point. Sorry scorpian just don't think it will be Andrew.

[WeatherEmperor]

Night falls ... time for the remnant of TD10 to have another convective flare ...

thats a pretty big explosion. How long it will last remains to be seen. Wouldnt be surprised if it died down again at night.

<RICKY>

[jkt21787]

I think to compare a system, not even a depression, to one of the most powerful and THE most destructive hurricane on record is absurd.

However, lets lay off the bashes. People say "no malice intended" yet keep rolling their eyes.

Comparing this "thing" to Andrew I am not. However, after going through Andrew I keep my eyes peeled for anything in that area, out of fear.

I hate to hear you went through Andew, and I'm sure it gave you a much higher sense of caution when dealing with these storms.

I just don't see this being an Andrew like storm, especially intensity wise. Conditions are not setting up for that at this time. The track could be close if the ridge builds in, but I think its way too soon to speculate on that even.

Also to what ivanhater said, nothing is 100% guaranteed, that is for sure. I just don't see it happening it here, but we all know how unpredictable this whole situation is.

Again, we should try to focus on the system itself, and the satellite image just posted is impressive. Lets see if its sheared away though.

[du1st]

Hey that looks like a TD again.