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deltadog03
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#401 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:33 pm

GFDL is all over the place too...remember its ran off of the GFS...so,...well, ok
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#402 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:41 pm

I have a feeling Jose will pay a visit to South Florida..... :eek:
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#403 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:44 pm

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#404 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:46 pm

:eek:
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#405 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:49 pm

Interesting how all the BAMM models are in agreement for once. I wonder what they are picking up on....
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#406 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:50 pm

Interesting how all the BAMM models are in agreement for once. I wonder what they are picking up on....


They are picking up on a building Bermuda ridge...should keep it on a W track.
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#407 Postby gkrangers » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:57 pm

boca_chris wrote:
Interesting how all the BAMM models are in agreement for once. I wonder what they are picking up on....


They are picking up on a building Bermuda ridge...should keep it on a W track.
IF there is a strong, weakness free, ridge. We shouldn't be so sure about that, not this far out.
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#408 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:58 pm

boca_chris wrote:
Interesting how all the BAMM models are in agreement for once. I wonder what they are picking up on....


They are picking up on a building Bermuda ridge...should keep it on a W track.


That's what I was fearful of. Just like last year. The ridge builds back into the Central Atlantic. Any weakness is over Florida. Then the most ACTIVE part of the season hits.

As beautiful as our state is, I fear that this could be another long August-September if this ridge builds in as strong as some forecasters are talking about.... :eek:
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#409 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 16, 2005 8:59 pm

I'd like to see successive runs that show the bend to the west. Remember these models actually showed Irene bending to the west at one point but it didn't.
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#410 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:00 pm

That's what I was fearful of. Just like last year. The ridge builds back into the Central Atlantic. Any weakness is over Florida. Then the most ACTIVE part of the season hits.

As beautiful as our state is, I fear that this could be another long August-September if this ridge builds in as strong as some forecasters are talking about....


Yes, the ridge was strong for some of July. That is why Dennis missed South Florida...then for about 5 weeks now the ridge took a break. Now it is building again and it looks like it could be a bad time for FL if it does this.
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#411 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:02 pm

boca_chris wrote:
That's what I was fearful of. Just like last year. The ridge builds back into the Central Atlantic. Any weakness is over Florida. Then the most ACTIVE part of the season hits.

As beautiful as our state is, I fear that this could be another long August-September if this ridge builds in as strong as some forecasters are talking about....


Yes, the ridge was strong for some of July. That is why Dennis missed South Florida...then for about 5 weeks now the ridge took a break. Now it is building again and it looks like it could be a bad time for FL if it does this.



well it still is a bad time for FL when it hits nw florida, like dennis and ivan
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#412 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:03 pm

yes I agree.
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#413 Postby Recurve » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:04 pm

I worry about systems that slip through just north of Hispanola. Don't like to see them miss that big barricade for S. Fla.
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#414 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:04 pm

they have been very consitant....very much so west...and sometimes pushing west each run
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#415 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:05 pm

they have been very consitant....very much so west...and sometimes pushing west each run


Wouldn't be surprised if Puerto Rico and the northern Caribbean Islands get grazed...
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#416 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:07 pm

yeah, i wouldn't either...that could very well push through the FL straits or northern cuba...and into the gulf...
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#417 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:07 pm

what bothers me is the models start it off going wnw and from what i can see it looks to be still heading west
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#418 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:08 pm

ivanhater wrote:what bothers me is the models start it off going wnw and from what i can see it looks to be still heading west


VERY good point
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#419 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:08 pm

Looks like it could recurve very close to Florida. A hit is not out of the question.
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#420 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 16, 2005 9:09 pm

deltadog03 wrote:
ivanhater wrote:what bothers me is the models start it off going wnw and from what i can see it looks to be still heading west


VERY good point


looks like were in for another frustrating storm..lol
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