From what I read-TD 10 is a fish?

[JTD]

The sense that I get from reading posts on this board is that TD 10 is a fish for the U.S.E.C. Is that an accurate impression? The trough will kick it out to sea?

[x-y-no]

Ummm ... no idea where you got that impression.

[Frank2]

There has been much discussion on another thread about the deep east coast trough that will be in place by late in the weekend (highs in the northeast this weekend will only be in the 60s and 70s, a testimony to the trough's strength).

Frank

[JTD]

There has been much discussion on another thread about the deep east coast trough that will be in place along the east coast by late in the weekend (highs in the northeast this weekend will only be in the 60s and 70s, a testimony to the trough's strength).

Frank

X-y-no, this is what I am referring to. Troughs like this kick the storms out don't they?

Thanks Frank. The above is what I was referring to.

[x-y-no]

There has been much discussion on another thread about the deep east coast trough that will be in place along the east coast by late in the weekend (highs in the northeast this weekend will only be in the 60s and 70s, a testimony to the trough's strength).

Frank

X-y-no, this is what I am referring to. Troughs like this kick the storms out don't they?

Thanks Frank. The above is what I was referring to.

Yes, I understood that, but my point is that the discussion here has certainly not been conclusive in saying that this trough will be strong enough or correctly timed to pick up the system before it gets to the coast.

At the very least, I think this will get substantially closer than Irene did.

[Anonymous]

There has been much discussion on another thread about the deep east coast trough that will be in place along the east coast by late in the weekend (highs in the northeast this weekend will only be in the 60s and 70s, a testimony to the trough's strength).

Frank

X-y-no, this is what I am referring to. Troughs like this kick the storms out don't they?

Thanks Frank. The above is what I was referring to.

Yes, I understood that, but my point is that the discussion here has certainly not been conclusive in saying that this trough will be strong enough or correctly timed to pick up the system before it gets to the coast.

At the very least, I think this will get substantially closer than Irene did.

Indeed, I think the soonest it COULD pick the storm up would be in 120 hrs or so, when the system is in the Bahamas.

[gatorcane]

Yes, I understood that, but my point is that the discussion here has certainly not been conclusive in saying that this trough will be strong enough or correctly timed to pick up the system before it gets to the coast.

At the very least, I think this will get substantially closer than Irene did

.

This trough will be out of the picture by the time TD 10 makes it close enough in my opinion...

[TS Zack]

This shortwave will not dig as much as the last trough did. Plus, ridging looks to build underneath the trough.

[gatorcane]

Also we are in mid to late August. I would pick the ridge over the trough.

[hurricanetrack]

Highs in Wilmington for the next 6 days will be in the 90s. No trough here....maybe north of me...

[Brent]

This doesn't look like a fish...

[hurricanetrack]

Here is the 500mb GFS from 6Z. Trough not far enough south to really impact TC 10 as it looks HERE.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_120m.gif

[gatorcane]

[Ivanhater]

Highs in Wilmington for the next 6 days will be in the 90s. No trough here....maybe north of me...

yes, highs in pcola for the next week is 90s as well, no trough here

[mascpa]

In my personal opinion, and that is all this is, XTD10 will not be a fish but will impact the east coast. Everyone should be paying attention because when this storm finally spins up (and it will eventually spin up), there will not be a lot of warning time to get prepared (which you should already be anyway). Pay attention, folks!

Tomorrow, Jose will be born.

[Anonymous]

Good post Mark. The only interesting thing is if that shortwave became something more...and might be able to tug on the system. Either way, I don't see this system being a "fish." I am concerned about Florida.

[JTD]

OK. I stand corrected BTW, this was a question, not an opinion. But you guys seem to know that.

[gatorcane]

yes, highs in pcola for the next week is 90s as well, no trough here

Let's get real everybody, the trough will not dig as far south as N. Florida. No way. It's mid August!

[Anonymous]

Well, it has happened. Just ask Mark on I-75. However, I doubt it will happen in this situation.

[gatorcane]

notice these models have the system going WNW currently but it still isn't