From what I read-TD 10 is a fish?

[Ivanhater]

notice these models have the system going WNW currently but it still isn't

yes i was going to comment on that...they have been doing that for the past few days and is still hasnt...while it will eventually go wnw, the further west it goes now, the further west the models will have to go

[Anonymous]

...and the further a chance this might even make GOM. But again, that's way far out.

[TS Zack]

The westerlies are only down to Kentucky and North Carolina. This may be a stronger trough but it isn't digging as much as the one last week with Irene.

Therefore, this system may get pulled North but don't expect a complete recurvature out to sea. I am leaning towards this system not turning much and not getting off the West-Northwest track.

[Recurve]

From TWD:
...THE NE CARIBBEAN AND LEEWARD ISLANDS ARE UNDER W UPPER FLOW FROM AN UPPER LOW N OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS NEAR 21N62W...THE AREA WILL HAVE RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY....

What chance the low will inhibit development and/or influence the track?

[weatherwoman]

not a fish

[Recurve]

Not anything actually. Fish if it doesn't develop?

[Thunder44]

notice these models have the system going WNW currently but it still isn't

yes i was going to comment on that...they have been doing that for the past few days and is still hasnt...while it will eventually go wnw, the further west it goes now, the further west the models will have to go

TPC said in their 11:30 TWO that's it's moving WNW and it will go north of the Leeward Islands. Also they input into the models what direction the center that they believe is going, and the models initialize off it.

[WindRunner]

You can say you think it's going WNW, but as we all know, it's nearly impossible to get accurate enough for a good forecast right now.

[Thunder44]

You can say you think it's going WNW, but as we all know, it's nearly impossible to get accurate enough for a good forecast right now.

Not talking about forecasts. Just trying point out that despite what some are saying here, it has been moving WNW. From the last advisory position Sunday morning (13.8N) to this morning's position by the models (16.5N), it has gained 2.7 degrees longitude.

[gkrangers]

I don't know how to get a degree of movement from the lat/lon positions...but 2.7 degrees in 3-4 days is probably closer to west than wnw.

[Thunder44]

I don't know how to get a degree of movement from the lat/lon positions...but 2.7 degrees in 3-4 days is probably closer to west than wnw.

It's certainly not due west or anywhere near west.

I plotted the coordinates myself. This morning position was 16.5N 55.7W is about 500 or so miles WNW and the from the last advisory position at 13.8N 46.5W

[clfenwi]

I don't know how to get a degree of movement from the lat/lon positions...but 2.7 degrees in 3-4 days is probably closer to west than wnw.

It's certainly not due west or anywhere near west.

I plotted the coordinates myself. This morning position was 16.5N 55.7W is about 500 or so miles WNW and the from the last advisory position at 13.8N 46.5W

Yeah, just did the trig on that and it amounts to a heading of 287°.