EX TD10 Recon Reports

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cycloneye
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EX TD10 Recon Reports

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 18, 2005 5:54 am

Well it has survived all the negative elements and today it looks better than last night being another tenasious system as Irene was.

Now let's see what recon can find in there this afternoon after 1 PM EDT.

FLIGHT ONE
A. 18/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0110A INVEST
C. 18/1200Z
D. 19.2N 61.2W
E. 18/1700Z TO 18/2130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Aug 18, 2005 3:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Derek Ortt

#2 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Aug 18, 2005 8:12 am

based upon visible imagery, there is some chance that recon could be cancelled
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#3 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 8:43 am

It's not cancelled. It's on route already.

629
URNT11 KNHC 181338
97779 13374 50270 83500 76200 99005 71852 /5764
RMK AF304 0110A INVEST OB 03
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#4 Postby TS Zack » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:06 am

LOL, Let's see what Reconn finds.
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#5 Postby Anonymous » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:06 am

I was gonna say...they are on their way. I would have been surprised if they would have cancelled. I think we have some idea what they will find. A weak center, with TD force winds. Not like it's an open wave.
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#6 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:18 am

Observation Number: 05
Time: 1355Z
Position: 26.1 North // 82.0 West
Flight level: 7620 meters
Flight level winds: 10 knots // 120
Temp / Dewpoint (C) : -21/-35
Weather: Scattered clouds
400 millibar height: 7640 meters

URNT11 KNHC 181358
97779 13554 50261 82000 76200 12010 71851 /5764
RMK AF304 0110A INVEST OB 05
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#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:20 am

wow I didnt think they would leave so early. Oh well that means we will get the information sooner. Should put most of us out of our misery regarding it really being a TD or not.

<RICKY>
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#8 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:39 am

Observation Number: 06
Time: 1415Z
Position: 25.3 North // 80.3 West
Flight level: 7620 meters
Flight level winds: 18 knots // 090
Temp / Dewpoint (C) : -21/-36
Weather: Scattered clouds
400 millibar height: 7650 meters
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:43 am

They are flying much earlier than what POD said it was supposed to be in the afternoon.
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#10 Postby jax » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:45 am

clfenwi wrote:Observation Number: 06
Time: 1415Z
Position: 25.3 North // 80.3 West
Flight level: 7620 meters
Flight level winds: 18 knots // 090
Temp / Dewpoint (C) : -21/-36
Weather: Scattered clouds
400 millibar height: 7650 meters


looks like they should be in the area in less than
2 hours... before 1pm EST
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#11 Postby Trader Ron » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:45 am

clfenwi wrote:Observation Number: 06
Time: 1415Z
Position: 25.3 North // 80.3 West
Flight level: 7620 meters
Flight level winds: 18 knots // 090
Temp / Dewpoint (C) : -21/-36
Weather: Scattered clouds
400 millibar height: 7650 meters


How can it be at 25.3 N and 80.3 W? Is this an old recon for another storm?
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#12 Postby Trader Ron » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:46 am

Oops, they are on there way. :roll: :D
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#13 Postby linkerweather » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:47 am

:)
Last edited by linkerweather on Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:54 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#14 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:52 am

wonder if it is a training flight or something. There is a coordination flight scheduled for today
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#15 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:57 am

cycloneye wrote:They are flying much earlier than what POD said it was supposed to be in the afternoon.


POD had take-off scheduled for 12Z... 8 AM ... when the storm is at 60 ° W and you are west of 80° , you have to leave early to get there at 2 PM... last ob put them about 1200 miles away, which is about 4 hours of flight time.
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#16 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:57 am

cycloneye wrote:They are flying much earlier than what POD said it was supposed to be in the afternoon.


No, the POD says it they will take off at 12z or 8am EDT this morning. They will be in the storm by 18z or 2pm EDT.
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#17 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 18, 2005 9:58 am

clfenwi wrote:
cycloneye wrote:They are flying much earlier than what POD said it was supposed to be in the afternoon.


POD had take-off scheduled for 12Z... 8 AM ... when the storm is at 60 ° W and you are west of 80° , you have to leave early to get there at 2 PM... last ob put them about 1200 miles away, which is about 4 hours of flight time.


I thought that they would have a plane at ST Croix. :)
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#18 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:06 am

849
URNT11 KNHC 181500
97779 14554 50240 76900 76200 07011 70871 /5763
RMK AF304 0110A INVEST OB 08
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#19 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:09 am

Observation Number: 08
Time: 1455Z
Position: 24.0 North // 76.9 West
Flight level: 7620 meters
Flight level winds: 11 knots // 070
Temp / Dewpoint (C) : -20/-37
Weather: Scattered clouds
400 millibar height: 7630 meters

URNT11 KNHC 181500
97779 14554 50240 76900 76200 07011 70871 /5763
RMK AF304 0110A INVEST OB 08

Note the mission number... this is the recon mission scheduled in the POD

On the issue of St Croix... maybe they've felt burnt by how things have played out when they've pre-positioned a plane there. They flew one out there in advance of Invest 93 (I think), which fizzled the moment it entered the Caribbean.
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#20 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:30 am

371
URNT11 KNHC 181523
97779 15154 50233 75200 76200 08013 71851 /5763
RMK AF304 0110A INVEST OB 09
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