Anyone think sarasota/tampa area will get a hurricane ...

[Noah]

by the time the season is over? Is it true that august till oct are the time of year we get gulf storms? I was in Tampa last year when charley was supposed to hit, and then hit my family in port charlotte and punta gorda instead. I remember being on edge for 2 months last year.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Who knows. Can't see that far.

[NastyCat4]

0% chance.

[Steve]

Hahahaha. Only 4 people from that area have responded as have 9 people from outside the area.

Steve

[Petmom]

I voted 25 % chance.

[storms in NC]

0% chance

[WeatherEmperor]

I want to say a -10% chance

<RICKY>

[jax]

way less than 25% chance...
I don't think the area ever has
a statistical chance of 10% or greater.

[Patrick99]

Tampa is absolutely safe, just like Miami. The troughs will ALWAYS swoop down, *just in time* (this is meant as a joke, but seemingly one with a grain of truth)

::smirk::

[Rob H]

Iwould say we are a lot safer here in the TB area than other
parts of the US coastline.

[Petmom]

Tampa is absolutely safe, just like Miami. The troughs will ALWAYS swoop down, *just in time* (this is meant as a joke, but seemingly one with a grain of truth)

::smirk::

Yes, but last year I didn't feel safe at all when Frances came across the state to us. Since then I will never feel completely safe again whenever there is a storm out there.

[jax]

Tampa is absolutely safe, just like Miami. The troughs will ALWAYS swoop down, *just in time* (this is meant as a joke, but seemingly one with a grain of truth)

::smirk::

Yes, but last year I didn't feel safe at all when Frances came across the state to us. Since then I will never feel completely safe again whenever there is a storm out there.

that's true for everyone from brownsville to Hatteras...

[Patrick99]

Don't look now, but a wisp of high cirrus is expected to fly off the NC coast and dent a weakness in the high that will turn any and all storms north before reaching Florida.

::double smirk::

[WeatherEmperor]

Don't look now, but a wisp of high cirrus is expected to fly off the NC coast and dent a weakness in the high that will turn any and all storms north before reaching Florida.

::double smirk::

i know. isnt it such a coincidence that whenever a storm approaches FL from the Atlantic, there is somehow always some kind of front or weakness in ridge to turn the system northward sparing South Florida? Its such a coincidence.

<RICKY>

[Petmom]

Tampa is absolutely safe, just like Miami. The troughs will ALWAYS swoop down, *just in time* (this is meant as a joke, but seemingly one with a grain of truth)

::smirk::

Yes, but last year I didn't feel safe at all when Frances came across the state to us. Since then I will never feel completely safe again whenever there is a storm out there.

that's true for everyone from brownsville to Hatteras...

Yes. But when Frances made landfall on the East Coast of Florida, I didn't think she would make such a huge impact here. That is the lesson I learned.

[Recurve]

I said 25%. It's hard to see how there's zero chance of a hurricane making landfall on a Florida coast...unless Tampa relocates to Illinois, or they park a trough from Jacksonville to Key West.

[southerngale]

For the 4 who voted 100% chance that Tampa will get a hurricane, could you please PM me my numbers for Saturday's lotto? Thanks.

[Rainband]

For the 4 who voted 100% chance that Tampa will get a hurricane, could you please PM me my numbers for Saturday's lotto? Thanks.

me too. I didn't vote but I say the chances of an east coast hit this year are greater from what I have seen so I will say 10%

[Cookiely]

Just like the milk I drink. 2%.

[TampaFl]

Just like the milk I drink. 2%.