Jose on the way?

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WeatherEmperor
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#61 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:33 am

Thunder44 wrote:One buoy to the south of this system is reporting ESE winds. If there is an LLC it's very weak and tiny.


That is interesting. Do you have a link that shows this buoy information? I guess I should just wait for the hurricane hunters to get in there and answer all these questions for us later on.

<RICKY>
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#62 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:50 am

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:One buoy to the south of this system is reporting ESE winds. If there is an LLC it's very weak and tiny.


That is interesting. Do you have a link that shows this buoy information? I guess I should just wait for the hurricane hunters to get in there and answer all these questions for us later on.

<RICKY>


Here's one source:

http://coolwx.com/buoydata/data/storms/10/storm.php

Probably referring to the buoy at 15.9 N 57.9 W . We've seen from Quikscat that the LLC has been very small. It has never been large enough that it would be noticable from a buoy so far away from the 'center'.
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#63 Postby WindRunner » Thu Aug 18, 2005 11:11 am

Official National Data Buoy Center:

http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/
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#64 Postby mvtrucking » Thu Aug 18, 2005 11:51 am

BRADGPSL-FL wrote:i believe we could see a major storm as this thing approaches the florida straights and starts to spin in the warm waters.


If it gets it act together, a GOM tract would mean high sst's all the way in.(Wouldn't it strengthen rapidly?) Correct?
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#65 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 18, 2005 11:54 am

mvtrucking wrote:
BRADGPSL-FL wrote:i believe we could see a major storm as this thing approaches the florida straights and starts to spin in the warm waters.


If it gets it act together, a GOM tract would mean high sst's all the way in.(Wouldn't it strengthen rapidly?) Correct?
It has high SSTs now..impressed?

Needs a lot more than warm water.
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#66 Postby dwg71 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 11:55 am

mvtrucking wrote:
BRADGPSL-FL wrote:i believe we could see a major storm as this thing approaches the florida straights and starts to spin in the warm waters.


If it gets it act together, a GOM tract would mean high sst's all the way in.(Wouldn't it strengthen rapidly?) Correct?


SST's are only one factor in intensification, also talk about an open wave becoming a major is a bit premature in my opinion. Though its alright to speculate. Its just not supported by much now.
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#67 Postby Aquawind » Thu Aug 18, 2005 11:56 am

mvtrucking wrote:
BRADGPSL-FL wrote:i believe we could see a major storm as this thing approaches the florida straights and starts to spin in the warm waters.


If it gets it act together, a GOM tract would mean high sst's all the way in.(Wouldn't it strengthen rapidly?) Correct?


Well sure..Provided all of the other factors were favorable as well..takes alot more than hot water..

Paul
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#68 Postby shaggy » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:02 pm

looks really bad right now so it will probably be nothing still has a lot of obstacles for the next day or so.
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#69 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:20 pm

Oh, ye of little faith. The NHC obviously likes the chances or they wouldn't have Recon flying # 10 today.
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#70 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:25 pm

TAFB has changed somewhat -- and check out that ridge!


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif
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#71 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:30 pm

San Juan live radar -- definitely a westerly flow:

http://weather.net-waves.com/td10.php
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#72 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:32 pm

I'm just curious why you don't post all this information in the big thread that everyone is reading?

Also, everything on the SJU radar is moving to the west, representing EASTERLY flow.

There is no westerly flow. 10L is still out of range.
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#73 Postby jax » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:38 pm

gkrangers wrote:I'm just curious why you don't post all this information in the big thread that everyone is reading?

Also, everything on the SJU radar is moving to the west, representing EASTERLY flow.

There is no westerly flow. 10L is still out of range.


:lol:
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#74 Postby skufful » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:41 pm

dixiebreeze:

if you keep trumping this up, it just may come your way. I for one, would prefer it NOT to come my way!!!!!!
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#75 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:42 pm

skufful wrote:dixiebreeze:

if you keep trumping this up, it just may come your way. I for one, would prefer it NOT to come my way!!!!!!


in that case we all better hope that this disorganization trend continues. Die TD10. Die!

<RICKY>
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#76 Postby piedmont2 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:44 pm

I don't know much but isn't ex TD10 dead?
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#77 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:44 pm

piedmont2 wrote:I don't know much but isn't ex TD10 dead?


no
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#78 Postby skufful » Thu Aug 18, 2005 12:56 pm

storms in NC wrote:
piedmont2 wrote:I don't know much but isn't ex TD10 dead?


no


TWC is mentioning it every update to regenerate.
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#79 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 18, 2005 1:26 pm

gkrangers wrote:I'm just curious why you don't post all this information in the big thread that everyone is reading?

Also, everything on the SJU radar is moving to the west, representing EASTERLY flow.

There is no westerly flow. 10L is still out of range.


It appears to me that a whole lot of folks are reading this thread.
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#80 Postby Blown Away » Thu Aug 18, 2005 2:05 pm

Things can change fast, although I don't think it will happen as fast as it did in 1935!

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif
Last edited by Blown Away on Thu Aug 18, 2005 2:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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