Jose on the way?

[BRADGPSL-FL]

i am reading and will continue reading until this one is gone

[MiamiensisWx]

For anyone who is interested, here's the latest actual water vapor image for the northwest Atlantic.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/NWATL/WV/20.jpg

Anyone besides me noticing the dry air around the eastern Florida coast just off of Melbourne, Fort Pierce, Stuart and West Palm Beach that extends over to near Grand Bahama Island?

[gkrangers]

For anyone who is interested, here's the latest actual water vapor image for the northwest Atlantic.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/NWATL/WV/20.jpg

Anyone besides me noticing the dry air around the eastern Florida coast just off of Melbourne, Fort Pierce, Stuart and West Palm Beach that extends over to near Grand Bahama Island?

So?

[BRADGPSL-FL]

thanks! i see it, do you think it will hold in place as td 10 approaches that region?

[MiamiensisWx]

thanks! i see it, do you think it will hold in place as td 10 approaches that region?

It depends... if it remains, along with shear, it could weaken storms approaching the eastern Florida coast.

So?

I just thought it was interesting. Many times it can be important to concentrate on subtle details... you never know, when it comes to tracking difficult systems, you might need to cover all the bases - including by assessing all factors and focusing on small factors that might significantly effect some systems.

[BRADGPSL-FL]

THAT MAKES SENSE THATS FOR THE INFO

[MiamiensisWx]

THAT MAKES SENSE THATS FOR THE INFO

Thanks!

[deltadog03]

That is the ridge that is building in

[Brent]

Oh, ye of little faith. The NHC obviously likes the chances or they wouldn't have Recon flying # 10 today.

As expected, they've found absolutely nothing. It's not even close to a TD...

Next.

[cycloneye]

Oh, ye of little faith. The NHC obviously likes the chances or they wouldn't have Recon flying # 10 today.

As expected, they've found absolutely nothing. It's not even close to a TD...

Next.

Brent next maybe Africa.Take a look at my thread about African Waves.

[dwg71]

We had discussions on models, on potential tracks, on potential landfall locations, we had GOM discussions, we had talk of ridges, troughs, fish and the like...the only thing we need was a TC to go with it.

NEXT....

[WeatherEmperor]

We had discussions on models, on potential tracks, on potential landfall locations, we had GOM discussions, we had talk of ridges, troughs, fish and the like...the only thing we need was a TC to go with it.

NEXT....

very well said. My gosh I wonder how this forum would be if a Cat 5 is bearing down on the US....

<RICKY>

[MiamiensisWx]

We had discussions on models, on potential tracks, on potential landfall locations, we had GOM discussions, we had talk of ridges, troughs, fish and the like...the only thing we need was a TC to go with it.

NEXT....

Yep... next best bet are the African waves.

Next best bet is the wave in the central Atlantic that has exited Africa as well as the two really strong waves about to exit the coast behind it.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

[WeatherEmperor]

Im putting my stock on the wave coming off Africa in the next few hours.

<RICKY>

[sfwx]

MON-THU...THE LARGE H50 TROUGH OVER THE NERN QUAD OF THE US WILL
SHEAR OUT AND LIFT ENE OVER THE TOP OF THE REBUILDING ATLC RIDGE
OVER THE WRN ATLC. THIS WILL LEAVE WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE
OVER FL. AT THE SFC...THE COLD FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE FL/GA BORDER
WILL BECOME QSTNRY AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL
BE SLOW TO DECREASE...WITH SUFFICIENT MEAN PWAT TO JUSTIFY
CONTINUING MID RANGE SCT POPS.

CAVEAT WITH THE CURRENT FCST OCCURS AROUND DAYS 6-7 AS THE REMNANTS
OF T.D. 10 (WHATEVER FORM THEY MAY BE IN AT THAT TIME) PUSH TWD THE
BAHAMAS AND THEN POTENTIALLY NEAR THE FL EAST COAST. COULD WIND UP
(AT THE VERY LEAST) HAVING TO HIKE POPS UP SHOULD THE SYSTEM GET AS
CLOSE AS CURRENT ECM/GFS GUIDANCE INDICATES...WITH MORE SIGNIF FCST
CHGS POSSIBLE SHOULD IT REGENERATE AS A T.C. BEING SEVERAL DAYS OUT
...AND WITH THE WELL KNOWN UNCERTAINTY W/R/T TROPICAL ENTITIES...
IT IS SIMPLY SOMETHING TO MONITOR ATTM.
&&

.MARINE...NO HIGHLIGHTS. RIDGE AXIS REMAINS NEAR OR JUST SE OF THE
ECFL ATLC WATERS...KEEPING SEAS AOB 3FT THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
LIGHT STEERING FLOW WITH LACK OF A SIGNIF W-E COMPONENT OF MOTION
SHOULD INHIBIT THREAT FOR OFFSHORE MOVING STORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT ISOLD STORMS NEAR AND JUST WEST OF THE KSFB-KMCO
CORRIDOR IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...OTHERWISE
VFR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB 95 76 94 77 / 20 20 30 20
MCO 97 77 95 78 / 20 20 40 20
MLB 93 78 93 76 / 20 10 20 10
VRB 94 76 91 75 / 10 10 20 10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...VOLKMER
LONG TERM....CRISTALDI

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Forget about this system its dead. I knew that its LLC faded from this world late last night. In the recon is proving it.

[storms in NC]

Forget about this system its dead. I knew that its LLC faded from this world late last night. In the recon is proving it.

It is a wave yes. dead no. as long as it is a wave there is potential of redevelopment

[MiamiensisWx]

It is a wave yes. dead no. as long as it is a wave there is potential of redevelopment

True... they always have the potential to rise from the grave in another name... we'll see...

[storms in NC]

It is a wave yes. dead no. as long as it is a wave there is potential of redevelopment

True... they always have the potential to rise from the grave in another name... we'll see...

wasn't named was it? Just TD10

[weatherwoman]

it might be but its not td10