TD 10...Back Again

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HURAKAN
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#1001 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:42 pm

This is the most organized mess that we have right now in the Atlantic, nothing else to watch.
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superfly

#1002 Postby superfly » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:44 pm

HURAKAN wrote:This is the most organized mess that we have right now in the Atlantic, nothing else to watch.


It's not organized at all. It's a wave and should be treated as such. Could it develop a surface circulation? Sure, just like any other wave.
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#1003 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:48 pm

superfly wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:This is the most organized mess that we have right now in the Atlantic, nothing else to watch.


It's not organized at all. It's a wave and should be treated as such. Could it develop a surface circulation? Sure, just like any other wave.


Don't go very deep into my words: I say, "this is the most organized MESS in the Atlantic right now.
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#1004 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:50 pm

He was saying it's the best looking thing but it's very sad and pathetic.

:lol:
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#1005 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:51 pm

Brent wrote:He was saying it's the best looking thing but it's very sad and pathetic.

:lol:


GOOD INTERPRETATION OF MY WORDS!!!
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#1006 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:52 pm

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#1007 Postby superfly » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:53 pm

Brent wrote:He was saying it's the best looking thing but it's very sad and pathetic.

:lol:


I know what he was saying. I just don't think it's organized at all. I'd rather bet on the wave coming off Africa or the one in central Africa.
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#1008 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:55 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/1998/Mitch_10/TRCmitch299A_G8.jpg

:wink:


And the point is?
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#1009 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 18, 2005 10:56 pm

Thats a organized cyclone.
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#1010 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Thu Aug 18, 2005 11:03 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Thats a organized cyclone.


yeah thats a organized Hurricane well what does a organized TD look like? theres a very big diffrence!
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#1011 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Aug 18, 2005 11:43 pm

ROCK wrote:I know what... Since this thread has been reduced to bashing individuals with an opinion (who can write well) maybe it should be locked. Furthermore, I agree its time to move on with this wave ,X-TD10, bunch of clouds, one T-storm system or whatever you want to call it... If not, maybe we can change the name Talkin Tropics to Talkin Trash.....Im sure we can all learn for that.....IMO


If you think I am bashing, you need to learn what bashing is. I have asked legitimate questions and have not recieved the answers which were offered and requested.
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gkrangers

#1012 Postby gkrangers » Fri Aug 19, 2005 1:12 am

vbhoutex wrote:
ROCK wrote:I know what... Since this thread has been reduced to bashing individuals with an opinion (who can write well) maybe it should be locked. Furthermore, I agree its time to move on with this wave ,X-TD10, bunch of clouds, one T-storm system or whatever you want to call it... If not, maybe we can change the name Talkin Tropics to Talkin Trash.....Im sure we can all learn for that.....IMO


If you think I am bashing, you need to learn what bashing is. I have asked legitimate questions and have not recieved the answers which were offered and requested.
You aren't bashing. Elsyium makes ridiculous claims just to get everyones panties in a bunch. Then offers no data to back up anything he says and no verification.

Remember...within the last day or two he said TD10 was moving into the best environment hes ever seen and it would be a record breaking hurricane...something of that sort.

He is completely ridiculous....
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superfly

#1013 Postby superfly » Fri Aug 19, 2005 1:16 am

gkrangers wrote:You aren't bashing. Elsyium makes ridiculous claims just to get everyones panties in a bunch. Then offers no data to back up anything he says and no verification.

Remember...within the last day or two he said TD10 was moving into the best environment hes ever seen and it would be a record breaking hurricane...something of that sort.

He is completely ridiculous....


He says every disturbance is going to be the next Andrew just to get a reaction out of everyone. He did this with Irene too.
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gkrangers

#1014 Postby gkrangers » Fri Aug 19, 2005 1:17 am

superfly wrote:
gkrangers wrote:You aren't bashing. Elsyium makes ridiculous claims just to get everyones panties in a bunch. Then offers no data to back up anything he says and no verification.

Remember...within the last day or two he said TD10 was moving into the best environment hes ever seen and it would be a record breaking hurricane...something of that sort.

He is completely ridiculous....


He says every disturbance is going to be the next Andrew just to get a reaction out of everyone. He did this with Irene too.
Yep, and until people realize this and stop responding to his posts, he'll continue to do it.

He's trolling IMO.
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superfly

#1015 Postby superfly » Fri Aug 19, 2005 1:24 am

With regards to ex-TD10, quite ironic that it's firing up deep convection right after it lost its LLC. I give it a 20-40% chance that it'll redevelop a surface circulation.
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gkrangers

#1016 Postby gkrangers » Fri Aug 19, 2005 1:27 am

superfly wrote:With regards to ex-TD10, quite ironic that it's firing up deep convection right after it lost its LLC. I give it a 20-40% chance that it'll redevelop a surface circulation.
Its possible.

A watched pot never boils.

Get some rest, and don't agonize over a wave. Check it periodically, but not every frame needs to be analyzed.

Any development will still take days to occur, if at all. I wouldn't be opimistic if the NHC completely removed it from the TWO, tho.
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elysium

#1017 Postby elysium » Fri Aug 19, 2005 2:03 am

Well everyone, just now getting back. The only chance I had to review TD 10 remnants was at long distance on TWC. Have just skimmed over the satellite imagery at the NHC site; haven't really had a chance to form an opinion on what to make of it. Actually, I had expected to possibly see more of a defined center by this hour, however, it is still a little early for that yet, and we should get a much better picture on the daylight visable. TD 10 has clearly gained some additional convection, but that was well anticipated. Have nothing new to post until the center shows up.

Haven't updated on the current models as of yet. Don't expect to find any changes there either, however, if there has been a change I will try to apprise you as best as I can. The only thing; if anyone finds anything relating to the trough, please post it. Sometimes the NWS releases local information that can be of assistance in this area.

I'm going to go check on the models.
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#1018 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 19, 2005 2:57 am

? Not finding anything on San Juan long range radar. Some hints of twist, but nothing solid.

We'll see if the islands give it a little lee side favorability...
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elysium

#1019 Postby elysium » Fri Aug 19, 2005 3:03 am

Had some high strangeness for a while on the satellite imagery. It advanced 2 full hours in a single frame. Checked up on the models. How they are treating the trough is only slightly different than before and no real chance to speak of.

I am going to try to stay awake until the daylight visibles start coming in, but I'll tell you , I don't think I can make it. It's almost 4 am.
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elysium

#1020 Postby elysium » Fri Aug 19, 2005 3:13 am

Shouldn't have gone back to the NHC site. There's a suspicious area about 150 miles northeast of Puerto Rico, still though can't tell whether or not it's the center. Need the daylight visible.
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