Convection and cold tops.......

[dixiebreeze]

for # 10 late tonight. The fat lady obviously has yet to sing:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

[dixiebreeze]

Don't see any cancellations:

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT THU 18 AUGUST 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 191100Z TO 20/1100Z AUG 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-082

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (REMNANTS OF TD 10)
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 19/1800Z A. 20/0600Z
B. AFXXX 0310A CYCLONE B. AFXXX 0410A CYCLONE
C. 19/1600Z C. 20/0400Z
D. 20.0N 65.5W D. 21.5N 67.0W
E. 19/1700Z TO 19/2130Z E. 20/0500Z TO 20/0930Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLY START 6 HRLY
FIXES AT 20/1800Z.

[Brent]

No mention in the TWO though... NONE.

That recon thing is old... before today's. I will be floored if they go out tomorrow. No mention in the TWO seals it.

[jax]

Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 10:30 PM EDT on August 18, 2005


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
Tropical storm formation is not expected through Saturday.
Forecaster Franklin
$$

[ohiostorm]

Theres no mention on the NRL site either.

[Brent]

If Recon were going out... it would say so in the TWO.

It's over...

[Steve H.]

Don't think its over yet. It will make one more run at it. Notice the convective bands that are circular way out to the west toward the south, and an inner ring as well. This may not be over yet. Shear has finally lessened. Let's see if it continues to build overnight.

[dixiebreeze]

Stay tuned.

[Brent]

Stay tuned.

I have been... for the better part of a week. I'm over it.

[boca]

Hey Dixie I believe you.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[dixiebreeze]

Thanks Boca and Steve. We will dine on steak and lobster. The others on crow.

[JamesFromMaine2]

well you can see a clear rotation but if its all the way to the surface or not I have no clue and theres a big flare up of convection! Looks to me like it might just make a come back! If it does then I guess this storm just wasn't ready to give up! lol

[boca]

it could be blowing up because of divergence. Tomorrow morning will be key,but it has life for a wave.

[dixiebreeze]

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

[Brent]

Thanks Boca and Steve. We will dine on steak and lobster. The others on crow.

I think you already have some crow from some earlier predictions. I would not be talking.

[dixiebreeze]

Thanks Boca and Steve. We will dine on steak and lobster. The others on crow.

I think you already have some crow from some earlier predictions. I would not be talking.

Now, now, Brent, don't get testy. No one's perfect.

[Recurve]

Maybe Irene will come back. I think the shear is letting up off Greenland and there's a blocking ridge over the north pole.

[Rainband]

Thanks Boca and Steve. We will dine on steak and lobster. The others on crow.

I think you already have some crow from some earlier predictions. I would not be talking.

We all have

[Brent]

Thanks Boca and Steve. We will dine on steak and lobster. The others on crow.

I think you already have some crow from some earlier predictions. I would not be talking.

Now, now, Brent, don't get testy. No one's perfect.

Looks pathetic once again this morning BTW... it's not maintaining convection more than a few hours so it's not going to develop into anything, at least not in the next couple of days.

[dixiebreeze]

Thanks Boca and Steve. We will dine on steak and lobster. The others on crow.

I think you already have some crow from some earlier predictions. I would not be talking.

Now, now, Brent, don't get testy. No one's perfect.

Looks pathetic once again this morning BTW... it's not maintaining convection more than a few hours so it's not going to develop into anything, at least not in the next couple of days.

Ahhh.... At least you now have a caveat, Brent -- "a few days."