You all probably know the water temps are VERY warm...here is just how warm:
https://128.160.23.54/products/OFA/gsscofa.gif
Look at all of the 30+ celsius water there is out there. Even off the Carolinas- which I have NEVER seen in all my years of tracking this stuff (about 10 years now). Something tells me that there will be plenty of hurricanes- have to be, too much warm water out there...where would all of the heat go? It doesn't just "go away".
Thirty-something
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Thirty-something
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Re: Thirty-something
hurricanetrack wrote:You all probably know the water temps are VERY warm...here is just how warm:
https://128.160.23.54/products/OFA/gsscofa.gif
Look at all of the 30+ celsius water there is out there. Even off the Carolinas- which I have NEVER seen in all my years of tracking this stuff (about 10 years now). Something tells me that there will be plenty of hurricanes- have to be, too much warm water out there...where would all of the heat go? It doesn't just "go away".
It has other places to go, other than hurricanes... If it didn't we would have a bunch of homegrown storms just popping up in the gulf.
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That's true. The heat will get out of the tropics one way or another. If it is not through hurricanes, then we should see some awesome nor'easters this winter. But I have my money on lots of hurricanes coming in the next 8 weeks.
I sure wish we had SST data from 1954 when Hazel hit NC in mid October. It was a supposed cat 3/4 at landfall- our worst ever. Although Fran and Floyd were pretty darn bad too. Anyway, what kind of SSTs would we have had in mid October to allow such a large, strong hurricane in to the area? I know it was moving fast, but still, it made it to Canada as a hurricane. The anomalys are just too high in the western Atlantic, Gulf and surrounding waters. I just think it is a matter of time...I really do. All of those forecasts from NOAA, Bill Gray and TSR are not going to be thrown out the window. The last 10 days of August and all of September should be quite impressive...at least we will know for sure at the end of September. THAT is the only given.
I sure wish we had SST data from 1954 when Hazel hit NC in mid October. It was a supposed cat 3/4 at landfall- our worst ever. Although Fran and Floyd were pretty darn bad too. Anyway, what kind of SSTs would we have had in mid October to allow such a large, strong hurricane in to the area? I know it was moving fast, but still, it made it to Canada as a hurricane. The anomalys are just too high in the western Atlantic, Gulf and surrounding waters. I just think it is a matter of time...I really do. All of those forecasts from NOAA, Bill Gray and TSR are not going to be thrown out the window. The last 10 days of August and all of September should be quite impressive...at least we will know for sure at the end of September. THAT is the only given.
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