Updated Models Ex TD 10

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jax

Updated Models Ex TD 10

#1 Postby jax » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:06 pm

They waited over 24 hours.. but here they are...
Looks GOM'er-ish

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm
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rockyman
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#2 Postby rockyman » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:08 pm

That info is in the main TD10 thread...was release a few hours ago :D
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jax

#3 Postby jax » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:10 pm

rockyman wrote:That info is in the main TD10 thread...was release a few hours ago :D


yeah... but who could find that?
59 pages long...
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#4 Postby rockyman » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:13 pm

I found it...I'm guessing this thread will be locked...but maybe not... :D
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jax

#5 Postby jax » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:14 pm

all four of the newer model runs have it moving below FL
possibly through the straight...
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Re: Updated Models Ex TD 10

#6 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:18 pm

jax wrote:They waited over 24 hours.. but here they are...
Looks GOM'er-ish

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm


I don't think that initialzation point is right - too far advanced.

If we're going to get a new LLC, I'd expect it to be back nearer the convection and the MLC approaching 20.5N 65W.
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#7 Postby ohiostorm » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:19 pm

10L now back on NRL site.
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jax

Re: Updated Models Ex TD 10

#8 Postby jax » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:19 pm

x-y-no wrote:
jax wrote:They waited over 24 hours.. but here they are...
Looks GOM'er-ish

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm


I don't think that initialzation point is right - too far advanced.

If we're going to get a new LLC, I'd expect it to be back nearer the convection and the MLC approaching 20.5N 65W.


agreed... the TWO mentions a more westerly direction though...
not WNW...
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#9 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:25 pm

Actually, I just took a look at the higher-res visible imagery, and I think I may have been wrong.

What look on the floater like it's a MLC, doesn't look that way at higher resolution.

And it does appear that the wave axis is now extending north of the Mona Passage. Still a fairly weak wave, though.
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#10 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:29 pm

There's a very weak center near 20.2-68.1

Direction west...
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jax

#11 Postby jax » Fri Aug 19, 2005 4:31 pm

what is the sheer forcast in the area?
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