Are we in August?

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HURAKAN
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Are we in August?

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 19, 2005 12:30 pm

Image

Usually August is when the hurricane season really kicks off. This year June and July were super active. In July the weather pattern looked more like the usual August-pattern. Now we are in August and the weather pattern seems to be more like an usual July pattern. Conclusion, this year, so far, has been upside-down.

Question: Not counting 1997 because it was an EL NINO year, when was the last time that during a NON-EL NINO year July has had more tropical systems than August?

Opinions wanted!!!!
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jax

#2 Postby jax » Fri Aug 19, 2005 12:31 pm

season may very well have peaked in July...
we will have to wait and see.
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#3 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 19, 2005 12:31 pm

July was like August and August is like July...

ocean is heating up still with the lack of stormsl

watch out for September and October in my opinion :eek:
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#4 Postby MetroMike » Fri Aug 19, 2005 6:37 pm

I think mother nature has a way of evening things out in the end. We may have had the peak of the season earlier this summer.
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#5 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Fri Aug 19, 2005 7:49 pm

I totally disagree we reached peak. Conditions look to changing and I still expect us to be active coming up. Dont get calm yet because in my opinion the worse is yet to come. We are still 250% above normal. Just imagine how active july was. If the normal most active period is anything like that then it will be bad.

Matt
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#6 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Fri Aug 19, 2005 7:59 pm

MetroMike wrote:I think mother nature has a way of evening things out in the end. We may have had the peak of the season earlier this summer.

Unbelievable! 30 minutes after senorpepr makes that thread, there are still remarks like this! Some people here are just flat out ignorant.
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Re: Are we in August?

#7 Postby mahicks » Fri Aug 19, 2005 8:20 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

Usually August is when the hurricane season really kicks off. This year June and July were super active. In July the weather pattern looked more like the usual August-pattern. Now we are in August and the weather pattern seems to be more like an usual July pattern. Conclusion, this year, so far, has been upside-down.

Question: Not counting 1997 because it was an EL NINO year, when was the last time that during a NON-EL NINO year July has had more tropical systems than August?

Opinions wanted!!!!



senorpepr made a good post about an hour or so ago that debates this season. I used to think like your pic dictates until I read this thread:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=70862

All that being said....It is a little boring right now

:D
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#8 Postby mahicks » Fri Aug 19, 2005 8:22 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:
MetroMike wrote:I think mother nature has a way of evening things out in the end. We may have had the peak of the season earlier this summer.

Unbelievable! 30 minutes after senorpepr makes that thread, there are still remarks like this! Some people here are just flat out ignorant.


HurricaneFreak...

That tally of the storms on your avatar sure is starting to get even!!!

D@mn EPAC!!!!
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#9 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Aug 19, 2005 8:58 pm

mahicks wrote:
hurricanefreak1988 wrote:
MetroMike wrote:I think mother nature has a way of evening things out in the end. We may have had the peak of the season earlier this summer.

Unbelievable! 30 minutes after senorpepr makes that thread, there are still remarks like this! Some people here are just flat out ignorant.


HurricaneFreak...

That tally of the storms on your avatar sure is starting to get even!!!

D@mn EPAC!!!!


perhaps that wave coming off Africa could add one more to our tally.

<RICKY>
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#10 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 19, 2005 9:35 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:
MetroMike wrote:I think mother nature has a way of evening things out in the end. We may have had the peak of the season earlier this summer.

Unbelievable! 30 minutes after senorpepr makes that thread, there are still remarks like this! Some people here are just flat out ignorant.



Well, I don't think it's ignorant. I remember previous years where we didn't have any action and everyone kept saying "wait until August", "then wait until September", then "wait until October"....Finally they gave up and started saying "wait until next season" LOL.

The point is, he could be right or he could be wrong, but we just don't know. I've seen both type of seasons.
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#11 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 19, 2005 9:36 pm

mahicks wrote:
hurricanefreak1988 wrote:
MetroMike wrote:I think mother nature has a way of evening things out in the end. We may have had the peak of the season earlier this summer.

Unbelievable! 30 minutes after senorpepr makes that thread, there are still remarks like this! Some people here are just flat out ignorant.


HurricaneFreak...

That tally of the storms on your avatar sure is starting to get even!!!

D@mn EPAC!!!!



I think the EPAC will blow away the Atlantic this year, but that's just MY opinion :D
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#12 Postby TSmith274 » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:54 am

A record-setting beginning can only lead to a lull, IMO. A fast start, a slow middle, and going out with a bang... that is hurricane season 2005.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#13 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:02 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
mahicks wrote:
hurricanefreak1988 wrote:
MetroMike wrote:I think mother nature has a way of evening things out in the end. We may have had the peak of the season earlier this summer.

Unbelievable! 30 minutes after senorpepr makes that thread, there are still remarks like this! Some people here are just flat out ignorant.


HurricaneFreak...

That tally of the storms on your avatar sure is starting to get even!!!

D@mn EPAC!!!!



I think the EPAC will blow away the Atlantic this year, but that's just MY opinion :D


Many seasons have started out fast then slowed down. But there is only 2 years of threat to this year is 1995,1933. Personally I think we could easly get the 6th named storms by the end of Sept to even out 1995. Then October will tell the story. But it could also turn out to be like 1997.

Personally I think the Eastern Pacific is going to catch up like they normally do. Maybe even come very close. Maybe even blow the Atlatnic away. But who knows.
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Anonymous

#14 Postby Anonymous » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:03 am

Everyone keeps forgetting...1997 was an El Nino year. This is not.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#15 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:11 am

Floydbuster I know what your saying. But theres other factors then El nino alone. "IF" the dry MJO gets back into the Atlantic durning the peaks over the next 4 weeks. It could very well do it. In theres alot more factors then that.

I would love to see this season beat 1995. Then go on to kick 1933 of its throne. But it is not 100 percent.
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NastyCat4

#16 Postby NastyCat4 » Sat Aug 20, 2005 10:31 am

Expect 5-6 more named storms, and be happy with that. At this point, there isn't gonna be 11-12 more storms this season--extremely unlikely.
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#17 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:36 pm

And the extent of the lull will be told by what the exiting African wave does since it is the only player on the board right now...
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truballer#1

#18 Postby truballer#1 » Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:42 pm

I still think 10 more storms. I think it s going to be very active by next week
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#19 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:46 pm

Such a strange season thus far. It really started out with a bang and has broken many records already. Even Dr. Gray updated his numbers substantially. It appears the current lull of activity is about to awaken from it's slumber with that healthy low pressure system that just exited Africa. :eek: :)
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#20 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:46 pm

I still say watch out for September. It would be foolish I mean foolish to think that September not be very active.

<RICKY>
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