East Atl/African Waves,Sat Pics,Models Discussion Thread

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Ivanhater
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#261 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:10 pm

hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo
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#262 Postby gkrangers » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:12 pm

In all likelyhood, the Atlantic ridging wont adhere to what the models are depicting in 7 days, when they start to send this wave to the north.

They really flip flop a lot with regards to position and strength.

But...lets wait until we have a legitimate Tropical STORM before getting all bugeyed and crazy.
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#263 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:13 pm

ivanhater wrote:hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo


Ivanhater. Your studying meteorology at FSU right?

<RICKY>
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#264 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:14 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo


Ivanhater. Your studying meteorology at FSU right?

<RICKY>


well i was going to fsu, but i decided on usa instead..i actually just moved into my dorm today.. dorms are depressing :cry:
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#265 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:16 pm

ivanhater wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo


Ivanhater. Your studying meteorology at FSU right?

<RICKY>


well i was going to fsu, but i decided on usa instead..i actually just moved into my dorm today.. dorms are depressing :cry:
.

aaaah thats tough. i hate dorms too. I went to UF for a semester and came quickly back down to go to my local FIU instead.

<RICKY>
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#266 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:17 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo


Ivanhater. Your studying meteorology at FSU right?

<RICKY>


well i was going to fsu, but i decided on usa instead..i actually just moved into my dorm today.. dorms are depressing :cry:
.

aaaah thats tough. i hate dorms too. I went to UF for a semester and came quickly back down to go to my local FIU instead.

<RICKY>



ya, thats why im glad pcola isnt that far away so i can come home on the weekends and go to church...so its not that bad
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#267 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:19 pm

ivanhater wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo


Ivanhater. Your studying meteorology at FSU right?

<RICKY>


well i was going to fsu, but i decided on usa instead..i actually just moved into my dorm today.. dorms are depressing :cry:



wow. I"m jealous! I wish I would have taken that career direction. I'm too old now(39). Best of luck to you! I'm sure you'll make a good meteorologist!
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#268 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:19 pm

Well study hard and succeed. I look forward to hearing from your professional forecast expertise in the years to come. Any plans for a phD or just with a Masters for now, pending all the expenses?

<RICKY>
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#269 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:20 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
ivanhater wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo


Ivanhater. Your studying meteorology at FSU right?

<RICKY>


well i was going to fsu, but i decided on usa instead..i actually just moved into my dorm today.. dorms are depressing :cry:



wow. I"m jealous! I wish I would have taken that career direction. I'm too old now(39). Best of luck to you! I'm sure you'll make a good meteorologist!



lol, thanks
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#270 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:20 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
ivanhater wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo


Ivanhater. Your studying meteorology at FSU right?

<RICKY>


well i was going to fsu, but i decided on usa instead..i actually just moved into my dorm today.. dorms are depressing :cry:



wow. I"m jealous! I wish I would have taken that career direction. I'm too old now(39). Best of luck to you! I'm sure you'll make a good meteorologist!



never too old!!
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#271 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:22 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Well study hard and succeed. I look forward to hearing from your professional forecast expertise in the years to come. Any plans for a phD or just with a Masters for now, pending all the expenses?

<RICKY>


i will...im going to get my masters as fsu....well i can probably learn just as much from storm2k, i learn something new everyday, its giving me a good head start :)
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#272 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 3:22 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
ivanhater wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:hey, well this is being compared to francis so might as well turn it out to sea first :wink: i agree its at a fairly low latitude...pretty good chance of not turning imo


Ivanhater. Your studying meteorology at FSU right?

<RICKY>


well i was going to fsu, but i decided on usa instead..i actually just moved into my dorm today.. dorms are depressing :cry:



wow. I"m jealous! I wish I would have taken that career direction. I'm too old now(39). Best of luck to you! I'm sure you'll make a good meteorologist!



never too old!!


how old are you?

<RICKY>
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#273 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:07 pm

shouldnt there be an invest soon?
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#274 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:15 pm

ivanhater wrote:shouldnt there be an invest soon?


my question as well. I feel pretty darn sure that tomorrow if this convection stays strong we could very well have one at that time. Id be surprised not to see any at that time.

<RICKY>
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#275 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:16 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:shouldnt there be an invest soon?


my question as well. I feel pretty darn sure that tomorrow if this convection stays strong we could very well have one at that time. Id be surprised not to see any at that time.

<RICKY>


i agree...looks really good right now
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#276 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:20 pm

ivanhater wrote:shouldnt there be an invest soon?


I think it would be prudent to wait for it to remain offshore another 24 hrs to verfiy that it won't go "poof" like so many waves have done ahead of it. If it's still there tomorrow and isn't weakening, then I think an invest will be issued.
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#277 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:23 pm

wxman57 wrote:
ivanhater wrote:shouldnt there be an invest soon?


I think it would be prudent to wait for it to remain offshore another 24 hrs to verfiy that it won't go "poof" like so many waves have done ahead of it. If it's still there tomorrow and isn't weakening, then I think an invest will be issued.


ya, thats true
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#278 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:25 pm

wxman57 wrote:
ivanhater wrote:shouldnt there be an invest soon?


I think it would be prudent to wait for it to remain offshore another 24 hrs to verfiy that it won't go "poof" like so many waves have done ahead of it. If it's still there tomorrow and isn't weakening, then I think an invest will be issued.


yeah you have a point... it hasnt been over water that long yet and we cant... or more precisely shouldnt assume anything of this wave for another 24 hours
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#279 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:49 pm

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/GOOY.html

Here are the observations from Dakar,Senegal.1008 mbs the lowest pressure so far with light north winds.
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#280 Postby superfly » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:58 pm

Image
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