Katrina Strengthening

[WeatherEmperor]

Well for the Floridians who want a storm, the 0Z Candian keeps your hopes alive:):)

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

lol no no no it wasnt me. I swear I never asked for a storm

<RICKY>

[wzrgirl1]

well maybe just a wee little small one

[WeatherEmperor]

well maybe just a wee little small one

lol well dont come running to me down the street if it ends up being a monster 'cane

<RICKY>

[Steve H.]

Looks like the 12Z Canadien has backed off that idea, and shows a weak closed low. Doesn't mean it won't be back at midnite, but that's the Canadien.

[WeatherEmperor]

Looks like the 12Z Canadien has backed off that idea, and shows a weak closed low. Doesn't mean it won't be back at midnite, but that's the Canadien.

From South Park movie: "Blame Canada! Blame Canada!"

<RICKY>

[wzrgirl1]

well maybe just a wee little small one

lol well dont come running to me down the street if it ends up being a monster 'cane

<RICKY>

C'mon you wouldn't help out a fellow neighbor? I might have some great steaks to grill afterwards!!

[WeatherEmperor]

well maybe just a wee little small one

lol well dont come running to me down the street if it ends up being a monster 'cane

<RICKY>

C'mon you wouldn't help out a fellow neighbor? I might have some great steaks to grill afterwards!!

Steaks you say? Oh boy in that case, bring it on. You know where to find me.

<RICKY>

[dhweather]

Looks like the 12Z Canadien has backed off that idea, and shows a weak closed low. Doesn't mean it won't be back at midnite, but that's the Canadien.

From South Park movie: "Blame Canada! Blame Canada!"

<RICKY>

ROTFL!!

Classic movie.

[gatorcane]

I'm still nervous....until this thing gets out of 88-89F degree water temps and stops drifting W into the FL peninsula.

[gatorcane]

Jan's post from another thread:

If this thing keeps dawdling along like it is, eventually conditions are going to get better for development, and there sure is plenty of heat available to fuel it when (if) that happens.

The GFS takes four days to move this thing from where it is across southern Florida into the Gulf, and another four days after that before it eventually goes ashore in the Missisippi area. Now it doesn't develop it beyond a weak closed low, but OTOH intensity is hardly the forte of any of the globals.

The Euro is similarly slow, the main difference being that it takes it into the northern Bahamas before heading WSW across the peninsula and into the Gulf, where it also takes it very slowly NNW over several days. It intensifies it a fair bit once into the Gulf.

The Canadian is even more bullish on the system once it gets into the Gulf ...

The point being that it's worth paying attention when the globals start agreeing like this.

Jan

[jlauderdal]

Boca_Chris...I think one thing I need to say is....sorry, but you're 1/2 giving the Floridians a bad name by getting worked up about things so quickly...just calm down.

1) Experts don't think this will develop into much of anything, if it develops at all.

2) It's almost certainly not a Florida East Coast Threat, and barely a threat to the Florida Lower Peninsula at all.

3) It's not even a Depression.

4) Just calm down for goodness sake....

Kevin Cho - East Naples, FL
Junior: Naples High School

kevin,
nobody in florida associates themseleves with boca-chris. he is on an island all by his lonesome.

[Sanibel]

We've had daily convection with electrical content. We are hot and humid with temperatures over 90* everyday for 45 days straight now. Our locals say the 91-93* SST's are on the high side.

When the Atlantic isn't favorable sometimes the Gulf can make up for it. If a surface feature entered this scenario...

[Steve]

>>We've had daily convection with electrical content.

Ack! Weatherspeak for some thunder and lightning?

Steve

[WeatherEmperor]

Boca_Chris...I think one thing I need to say is....sorry, but you're 1/2 giving the Floridians a bad name by getting worked up about things so quickly...just calm down.

1) Experts don't think this will develop into much of anything, if it develops at all.

2) It's almost certainly not a Florida East Coast Threat, and barely a threat to the Florida Lower Peninsula at all.

3) It's not even a Depression.

4) Just calm down for goodness sake....

Kevin Cho - East Naples, FL
Junior: Naples High School

kevin,
nobody in florida associates themseleves with boca-chris. he is on an island all by his lonesome.

lol.

<RICKY>

[TampaFl]

We've had daily convection with electrical content. We are hot and humid with temperatures over 90* everyday for 45 days straight now. Our locals say the 91-93* SST's are on the high side.

When the Atlantic isn't favorable sometimes the Gulf can make up for it. If a surface feature entered this scenario...

[Recurve]

It's easy to say a weak wave to the east is something to watch, or to say "it's nothing," but everybody knows some of the worst things to hit Florida have exploded between the Bahamas and here, or made landfall after meandering tracks. With the '35 storm, Betsy, and Andrew, I wouldn't turn my back on anything nearby. As others have said, several models over a few runs have shown a TS or at least a strong low coming this way.

Not hyping or hoping at all. A little rain, fine. A TS reaching the gulfstream with low shear -- quite a cause for concern, if only because of the potential for hard-to-forecast rapid stregthening and little time to prepare or get out.

[WeatherEmperor]

It's easy to say a weak wave to the east is something to watch, or to say "it's nothing," but everybody knows some of the worst things to hit Florida have exploded between the Bahamas and here, or made landfall after meandering tracks. With the '35 storm, Betsy, and Andrew, I wouldn't turn my back on anything nearby. As others have said, several models over a few runs have shown a TS or at least a strong low coming this way.

Not hyping or hoping at all. A little rain, fine. A TS reaching the gulfstream with low shear -- quite a cause for concern, if only because of the potential for hard-to-forecast rapid stregthening and little time to prepare or get out.

Agreed. Especially with this thing moving a bit slow it could really sap up some juice from those incredibly warm waters off the FL coast and into the Bahamas. Waters are near 90F.

<RICKY>

[gatorcane]

kevin,
nobody in florida associates themseleves with boca-chris. he is on an island all by his lonesome.

Not true at all

[tracyswfla]

Our local mets are starting to talk about former 10 and its possible affects.

[WeatherEmperor]

Our local mets here too. I noticed a slight bit more concern in his voice. This new guy that came from New Orleans to CBS4 news.

<RICKY>