12 z EURO and Florida

[ameriwx2003]

Now the 12Z EURO may raise some eyebrows in Florida:):)

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 2005082112[/url]

[Steve]

I've been out of pocket, but I also caught the 00z Canadian which also is probably raising eyebrows.

Steve

[WeatherEmperor]

That link shows a low pressure system hitting Europe.

<RICKY>

[Steve]

You have to click North America

[WeatherEmperor]

never mind i fixed it and its working now.

<RICKY>

[ameriwx2003]

I've been out of pocket, but I also caught the 00z Canadian which also is probably raising eyebrows.

Steve

Yes, I caught the Canadian as well.. the models are sniffing something out near Florida for later this week:):)

[HURAKAN]

When I see it I will believe it. I think it's possible after seeing the developments of Bret, Franklin, and Gert. But I am still skeptic.

[WeatherEmperor]

I agree with Sandy. Lemme see proof first before I say anything.

<RICKY>

[baygirl_1]

I wonder what they're "sniffing out." The timeline doesn't seem to fit either the poor remnants of TD 10 or that mid-level circulation near Puerto Rico. Must be something else they're seeing on the horizon? Or phantoms?? Anything's possible this time of year, that's for sure!

[artist]

seems it is no longer showing it - says it was updated 32 minutes ago. Am I missing something? (like how to run it)

[gkrangers]

[artist]

thanks gkrangers - it keeps telling me non applicable!

really appreciate your posting it.

[Dean4Storms]

It looks more like the low the GFS is developing over north Florida along the front as it hangs up, I believe the GFS drops this low southward and I believe this is the same low the Euro has drifting westward into the eastern Gulf.

It does appear that a low is expected to form somewhere around the FL peninsula, where it develops and if it does drift over into the GOM is the question. A low over the eastern GOM would likely take on tropical characteristics given deep convection and the overall synoptic pattern expected to materialize.

Note that this low is depicted in the eastern GOM next Sunday.

[Anonymous]

I pointed this out in my video update three days ago. Everybody was in the "STRAIGHT INTO CENTRAL AMERICA" mindset. I know that if it scraped Honduras, then over the Yucatan...it would exit in very favorable conditions.

[Dean4Storms]

I pointed this out in my video update three days ago. Everybody was in the "STRAIGHT INTO CENTRAL AMERICA" mindset. I know that if it scraped Honduras, then over the Yucatan...it would exit in very favorable conditions.

I believe you are on the wrong thread Floydbuster, the models depicting the low in the eastern GOM have nothing to do with the Yucatan disturbance that could develop but run out of room as it heads into Mexico.

[jlauderdal]

Still at 2% as it was 3 days ago.

[Anonymous]

Wait a sec...there are three possible GOM:::

1. 97L...in a long time...if it makes it across
2. Whats left of TD-10
3. The system recon is going to check out tomorrow that is currently over the Yucatan

[WeatherEmperor]

Still at 2% as it was 3 days ago.

Could be more like -2%

<RICKY>

[ameriwx2003]

Wait a sec...there are three possible GOM:::

1. 97L...in a long time...if it makes it across
2. Whats left of TD-10
3. The system recon is going to check out tomorrow that is currently over the Yucatan

What the EURO is showing is something from the Bahamas crossing Florida and into the Eastern Gulf:):) thats the system I was talking about :)

[ronjon]

Wait a sec...there are three possible GOM:::

1. 97L...in a long time...if it makes it across
2. Whats left of TD-10
3. The system recon is going to check out tomorrow that is currently over the Yucatan

What the EURO is showing is something from the Bahamas crossing Florida and into the Eastern Gulf:):) thats the system I was talking about :)

Yeah, thats the wave north of Hispanola today. All the globals take it west toward the FL straits/S FL, GFS keeps it weak, 00Z CMC develops it into a hurricane in the eastern GOM, and everyone sees what the Euro does