Melbourne getting aggresive..

[DESTRUCTION5]

000
FXUS62 KMLB 221834
AFDMLB

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
225 PM EDT MON AUG 22 2005

.DISCUSSION...

...TROPICAL SYSTEM SOUTHEAST OF FLORIDA WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES
LATER THIS WEEK...

CURRENT...EARLY CONVECTIVE INITIATION OCCURRED ONCE AGAIN ALONG THE
TREASURE COAST BY 1530Z...WITH A BRIEF FC/TOR REPORTED IN MARTIN
COUNTY SHORTLY BEFORE 18Z. IN ADDITION TO THIS ACTIVITY...LOCAL
88D'S SHOW ISOLD CELLS ALSO OCCURRING FARTHER NORTH AND INLAND OVER
ECFL...WITH MOST WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY JUST INLAND FROM THE FL WEST
COAST. VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ECSB HAS REACHED CTRL/WRN PARTS
OF THE COASTAL COS...WHICLE WCSB CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH TOWARD THE
TBW INTR CWA.

THRU TONIGHT...COASTAL SEA BREEZES WILL CONTINUE PROPAGATING INLAND
WITH INITIATION OF NEW CELLS DRIVEN BY STORM SCALE (OUTLFOW) BDRYS
RATHER THAN THE SEA BREEZE ITSELF...AS BEEN THE CASE THE PAST SEVERAL
NIGHTS. SIMILAR TO SUN...HAVE PAINTED A 20 POP FOR LINGERING EVENING
TSRA OVER THE WRN INTR...AS POPS WILL HAVE ENDED OVER THE COASTL COS
BEFORE 00Z. TEMPS M-U70S WITH SKIES BECMG CLR/MCLR.

TUE-WED...OPERATIONAL MODELS CONTINUE GOOD CONSENSUS WRT DEVELOPMENT
AND MOVEMENT OF WAVE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS. LATEST RUN OF GFS
INDICATES SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF SFC CIRCULATION OVER THE SE BAHAMAS
WITH SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE FL STRAITS BY LATE WED. RECON AIRCRAFT
SET TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TUE AFTERNOON IF NECESSARY. THE LOW
CENTER IS INITIALLY DRAWN NORTHWARD BY WEAKNESS IN RIDGE ASCD WITH
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ALONG THE SE COAST. WITH THIS SCENARIO EXPECT AN
INCREASE IN ELY FLOW BY WED. DO NOT ANTICIPATE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE
IN RAIN CHANCES TUE AS REMNANT OF UPPER RIDGE REMAINS ACROSS THE
PENINSULA BUT SHOULD SEE MORE COASTAL SHOWERS BY TUE NIGHT AND WED
AS MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF SYS.

THU-SUN...GLOBAL SUITE POINTS TOWARD SLOW WWD MOVEMENT OF SYS OVER S
FL TO THE KEYS/FL BAY AREA FRI THEN OVER THE SE GULF THIS WEEKEND AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. LOCAL WILD
CARD WILL BE LIKELIHOOD OF A DEEPENING SYSTEM SOUTH OF AREA WHICH
WOULD SIGNIFICANTLY ENHANCE ONSHORE FLOW WHEN COMBINED WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA FROM THE N. RAIN CHANCES MAY BE
BOOSTED BY LATER FORECASTS AND HAVE OPTED NOT TO FOCUS TOO MUCH ON
DETERIORATING ELEMENTS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE AS FORECAST REMAINS
UNCERTAIN ATTM. BEST BET WILL BE HIGHER RAIN CHANCES FROM MIDWEEK
AND INTO THE WEEKEND DUE TO INCREASED MOISTURE AND PROXIMITY OF
SYSTEM SOUTH OF AREA.

&&

[jax]

they are implying a GOM'er...
we will see

[jasons2k]

Yeah, I don't think Melbourne has much to worry about, except squalls.

[dixiebreeze]

BTT

[vbhoutex]

Dixie may be serving a crow banquet before this is all over.

[jax]

Dixie may be serving a crow banquet before this is all over.

nah... she had this thing redeveloping last Thursday...
we all insisted nothing would happen untill this week...
if at all.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Dixie may be serving a crow banquet before this is all over.

Destruction may have a plate too for all...Mine comes Fried in Feathers...

[Rainband]

Dixie may be serving a crow banquet before this is all over.

nah... she had this thing developing last Thursday...
we all insisted nothing would happen untill this week...
if at all.

actually most say not at all.

[vbhoutex]

Dixie may be serving a crow banquet before this is all over.

Destruction may have a plate too for all...Mine comes Fried in Feathers...

I guess it all depend where we put the cut off points for the feast!!!

[dixiebreeze]

Dixie may be serving a crow banquet before this is all over.

Well, if I do, it will be delicious -- I 'm a VERY good cook.

[jasons2k]

Just to clarify, I do think it will develop (as posted in other threads), but I don't think Melbourne is going to see too much out of it.

But if needed, I'll take mine as a stew; masks the flavor.

[dixiebreeze]

Just to clarify, I do think it will develop (as posted in other threads), but I don't think Melbourne is going to see too much out of it.

But if needed, I'll take mine as a stew; masks the flavor.

I think it will develop, too, but stew is too easy. How about a Crow Flambe with brandied peaches?

[jasons2k]

Just to clarify, I do think it will develop (as posted in other threads), but I don't think Melbourne is going to see too much out of it.

But if needed, I'll take mine as a stew; masks the flavor.

I think it will develop, too, but stew is too easy. How about a Crow Flambe with brandied peaches?

Ahhhhhhh, almost sounds yummy

[otowntiger]

Yeah, I don't think Melbourne has much to worry about, except squalls.

I don't think the Melbourne NWS office (which is the weather office for central FL, including Orlando metro area) said that there was anything to worry about. They only mention it because it possibly could have an effect on the local weather.

[Rainband]

Just to clarify, I do think it will develop (as posted in other threads), but I don't think Melbourne is going to see too much out of it.

But if needed, I'll take mine as a stew; masks the flavor.

I have a feeling it's gonna develop and meander in the eastern gulf before deciding where to go. I will take my crow fried.

[superfly]

If it develops, I don't think it will until it enters the GOM, too much shear right now.

[jrod]

I think that area will develop and impact South & Central Florida, the water temps are warm enough in this area for a hurricane to pop up in 24 hours.

My reason is the fish have been extremley active all day, and they tend to that before we get impacted from a strong system.

[jax]

I think that area will develop and impact South & Central Florida, the water temps are warm enough in this area for a hurricane to pop up in 24 hours.

My reason is the fish have been extremley active all day, and they tend to that before we get impacted from a strong system.

looks muck more like a GOM'er... all the models i've seen take it
between extreem south FL and Cuba

[jrod]

One of those wait and see where and if a LLC develops kind of systems. My thoughts are this the water temps are just too hot off of Florida for something not to develop and of course the fish are very active. I am fully expecting that sytem to really start winding up in the 36 hours.