First real deepening.....

[dixiebreeze]

She's going to burst in intensity quicker than a heartbeat if this keeps up:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

[dixiebreeze]

It looks like that Hurricane Watch for Florida may become a reality tonight.

[WeatherEmperor]

that is a pretty big burst.

<RICKY>

[superfly]

Why create a new thread? Can this not go in the main thread?

[dixiebreeze]

that is a pretty big burst.

<RICKY>

I can see why the NHC was reluctant to give up on this system.

[Steve]

>>Why create a new thread? Can this not go in the main thread?

I agree fly. But I hate those main threads with 30 or 40 pages of discussion. Rarely do I even click on them unless I'm bored to tears.

Steve

[WeatherEmperor]

that is a pretty big burst.

<RICKY>

I can see why the NHC was reluctant to give up on this system.

I can also see why you were reluctant to give up on this system as well. Way to go dude.

<RICKY>

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Come on tropical storm come on!!!

[dixiebreeze]

>>Why create a new thread? Can this not go in the main thread?

I agree fly. But I hate those main threads with 30 or 40 pages of discussion. Rarely do I even click on them unless I'm bored to tears.

Steve

Ditto

[Acral]

The next two days should be interesting, no doubt.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

I noticed that too. Nice burst, even shows some nice outflow (I hope thats the right word for what I think is headed north, then east and south of the convection.)

[MWatkins]

Hi-res imagery (as of 2320Z) shows a pretty good burst starting to go up to the SW the big blob...closer to the center of circulation located by aircraft. If this burst manages to overspread the center in the next few hours...it won't be very long at all before Katrina starts making waves.

Sorry...had to throw that in.

MW

[dhweather]

It looks like the depression is trying to start to wrap up.

[WeatherEmperor]

Hi-res imagery (as of 2320Z) shows a pretty good burst starting to go up to the SW the big blob...closer to the center of circulation located by aircraft. If this burst manages to overspread the center in the next few hours...it won't be very long at all before Katrina starts making waves.

Sorry...had to throw that in.

MW

Whats your personal take on this Mike? HOw strong do you believe she will become before impacting FL?

<RICKY>

[Rainband]

Hi-res imagery (as of 2320Z) shows a pretty good burst starting to go up to the SW the big blob...closer to the center of circulation located by aircraft. If this burst manages to overspread the center in the next few hours...it won't be very long at all before Katrina starts making waves.

Sorry...had to throw that in.

MW

according to the floater the 1007mb low is sw of the "new" center??

[southerngale]

Hi-res imagery (as of 2320Z) shows a pretty good burst starting to go up to the SW the big blob...closer to the center of circulation located by aircraft. If this burst manages to overspread the center in the next few hours...it won't be very long at all before Katrina starts making waves.

Sorry...had to throw that in.

MW

*snicker*

[BayouVenteux]

Hi-res imagery (as of 2320Z) shows a pretty good burst starting to go up to the SW the big blob...closer to the center of circulation located by aircraft. If this burst manages to overspread the center in the next few hours...it won't be very long at all before Katrina starts making waves.

Sorry...had to throw that in.

MW

and possibly walkin' on the sunshine state, no less.

Apologies. Couldn't resist.

[Huckster]

I am glad this thread got started. I'm sick of trying to sort through those freakin' thirty or forty page long monsters. Anyway, it does look like its starting to get better organized. Convection is increasing and there's a nice little anticyclone right over the top of it. These things kinda remind me of an engine on a cold day, how it takes a little while to get them going, and they sputter and sometimes try to die a couple of times at first. Once we get some persistent convection, a main center should become dominant and this thing should start cranking.

[skysummit]

I am glad this thread got started. I'm sick of trying to sort through those freakin' thirty or forty page long monsters. Anyway, it does look like its starting to get better organized. Convection is increasing and there's a nice little anticyclone right over the top of it. These things kinda remind me of an engine on a cold day, how it takes a little while to get them going, and they sputter and sometimes try to die a couple of times at first. Once we get some persistent convection, a main center should become dominant and this thing should start cranking.

You're right. At first, it looked to me like the cloud tops actually warmed a bit, but now it looks like new cold burst are beginning to form right around the center. Could this be the beginning of its core?

[DESTRUCTION5]

Hi-res imagery (as of 2320Z) shows a pretty good burst starting to go up to the SW the big blob...closer to the center of circulation located by aircraft. If this burst manages to overspread the center in the next few hours...it won't be very long at all before Katrina starts making waves.

Sorry...had to throw that in.

MW

MW where does the latest GFDL have landfall at? precisely?