Steve Lyons just said........

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tropicstorm
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Steve Lyons just said........

#1 Postby tropicstorm » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:13 pm

on a TWC 4:05 pm EDT update that Katrina had dropped pressure one millibar (presumambly now to 1002) even though the satellite signature is still not looking that great. He also said that it is no longer moving nnw but has begun to take that westerly motion as is now moving wnw.
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#2 Postby RU4REAL » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:19 pm

:double:



Just read where recon reported nnw? are you sure about the movement
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#3 Postby Steve H. » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:28 pm

The cloud tops have warmed significantly. She looks anemic right now.
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#4 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:31 pm

Steve H. wrote:The cloud tops have warmed significantly. She looks anemic right now.


organizing systems do this all the time, we have all seen it before, there is no reason at this time to believe it is weakening or will weaken. with that said, i predict an open wave, lol.
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#5 Postby The Big Dog » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:32 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Steve H. wrote:The cloud tops have warmed significantly. She looks anemic right now.


organizing systems do this all the time, we have all seen it before, there is no reason at this time to believe it is weakening or will weaken. with that said, i predict an open wave, lol.

We could only hope.
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#6 Postby Andrew92 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:33 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Steve H. wrote:The cloud tops have warmed significantly. She looks anemic right now.


organizing systems do this all the time, we have all seen it before, there is no reason at this time to believe it is weakening or will weaken. with that said, i predict an open wave, lol.


Hate to say it, but it disagree, as NHC and recon know that there is definitely a circulation; hence, we have a cyclone, not a wave.

-Andrew92
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Scorpion

#7 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:33 pm

Structure looks better however.
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#8 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 24, 2005 3:53 pm

Andrew92 wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Steve H. wrote:The cloud tops have warmed significantly. She looks anemic right now.


organizing systems do this all the time, we have all seen it before, there is no reason at this time to believe it is weakening or will weaken. with that said, i predict an open wave, lol.


Hate to say it, but it disagree, as NHC and recon know that there is definitely a circulation; hence, we have a cyclone, not a wave.

-Andrew92



he was kidding.... :roll:
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#9 Postby CourierPR » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:31 pm

:Dr. Lyons is right. The storm is flattening at the top on satellite indicating high pressure building.
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#10 Postby Andrew92 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:32 pm

ROCK wrote:
Andrew92 wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
Steve H. wrote:The cloud tops have warmed significantly. She looks anemic right now.


organizing systems do this all the time, we have all seen it before, there is no reason at this time to believe it is weakening or will weaken. with that said, i predict an open wave, lol.


Hate to say it, but it disagree, as NHC and recon know that there is definitely a circulation; hence, we have a cyclone, not a wave.

-Andrew92



he was kidding.... :roll:


Yes I know....I just wanted to be a pain in the butt!
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#11 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 5:57 pm

he just said that it could even take a track a bit south of due west as the ridge is building in
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#12 Postby donsutherland1 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:03 pm

Deltadog03,

Such an idea has historical precedent. Hurricane #4 (1947) tracked somewhat south of west as it moved across southern Florida. Hurricane Andrew (1992) tracked ever so slightly south of west as it headed toward its rendezvous with southeastern Florida.
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#13 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:05 pm

thanks don....i think that it could do that..what do you think??
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#14 Postby cajungal » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:05 pm

And both of those made second landfalls in Louisiana. However, none of the models show it going that far west in the gulf. Some don't even take it in the gulf at all, just up the penisula.
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#15 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:06 pm

ya, derek was mentioning a possible wsw movement
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#16 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:07 pm

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLoca ... odnav=none

i see a wnw motion also... I'm not an expert but, you need to check it out if you think its still going nw.... I mean it might be a wobble or something.....
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#17 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:08 pm

look at the sat pic...its moving almost due west right now
not quite but close
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#18 Postby donsutherland1 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:09 pm

Deltadog03,

I believe it will generally head west to west-northwest once the high builds in and a short period of somewhat south of west motion is a genuine possibility.
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#19 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:09 pm

Radar isn't accurate but it does look west. Guess recon and the update will tell the tale.
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#20 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:12 pm

thanks don...i thank ya
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