Upper-Level Winds

[gk1]

Are moving NE to SW over the SE and Florida Panhandle; which means that it would be extremely difficult for Katrina to move toward the Panhandle unless this changed quickly. The NHC has done a Great Job this year, but my gut feeling tells me that this storm is heading toward a Northern GOM hit rather than another Panhandle strike.

[hurricanedude]

northern GOM....HMMMM last time I checked the panhandle is as far north in the gulf as you can go...

[SapphireSea]

These are short term conditions. There should be some energy digging southward that will erode some of the ridging and possibly pick it up. As far east as panhandle, thats unknown? Best guess is from Biloxi to Pensacola.

This is moving slowly, and those last long term tracks are factoring a relatively slow moving system. In the case GFS has it the slowest and thus pushes it across the SE coast through a ridge hole. But also has it too shallow if it does stall.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

I agree, but as Dean4Storms pointed out to me the high will weaken and move east as Katrina enters the GOM. Which therefore will turn her more north. I guess it is still a few days off so we will see if anything changes.

[ohiostorm]

Biloxi to P' Cola is like a darn storm magnet.