TS Katrina,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #261 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:03 pm

It has started to close off a eye. In also it has formed a red cdo. If it is moving faster it is because of the ridge to the north is stronger then expected. In which is shown on cimss wind charts as a strong area of high pressure. This could head west for quite a bit longer.

#262 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:03 pm

pcolaguy wrote:OK, this "pro" met here Mr wxman or whatever the hell your name is, you come out and say it's goin WNW then 5 minutes later you change you mind and it's going due west? If a pro met can't make up his damn mind, the what hope is there for the rest of us?

I'm just reporting the measurements I'm making on my screen from the 1-hour positions. They're facts, not opinions. Clearly the center was moving WNW around 00Z before the westward, or even slightly south of west wobble began.

As for my credentials, I've been a professional met for the past 25 years. Born and raised and still live right on the Gulf coast. Been tracking hurricanes for 44 years. Hurricanes are my specialty.

jkt21787 · #263 Postby **jkt21787** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:05 pm

wxman57 wrote:
pcolaguy wrote:OK, this "pro" met here Mr wxman or whatever the hell your name is, you come out and say it's goin WNW then 5 minutes later you change you mind and it's going due west? If a pro met can't make up his damn mind, the what hope is there for the rest of us?

I'm just reporting the measurements I'm making on my screen from the 1-hour positions. They're facts, not opinions. Clearly the center was moving WNW around 00Z before the westward, or even slightly south of west wobble began.

As for my credentials, I've been a professional met for the past 25 years. Born and raised and still live right on the Gulf coast. Been tracking hurricanes for 44 years. Hurricanes are my specialty.

Wxman, I don't know where those comments came from above from pcolaguy, they were completely unnecessary.

Please continue with your updates on the movement. You have an amazing amount of knowledge.

Rainband · #264 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:05 pm

wxman57 wrote:
pcolaguy wrote:OK, this "pro" met here Mr wxman or whatever the hell your name is, you come out and say it's goin WNW then 5 minutes later you change you mind and it's going due west? If a pro met can't make up his damn mind, the what hope is there for the rest of us?

I'm just reporting the measurements I'm making on my screen from the 1-hour positions. They're facts, not opinions. Clearly the center was moving WNW around 00Z before the westward, or even slightly south of west wobble began.

As for my credentials, I've been a professional met for the past 25 years. Born and raised and still live right on the Gulf coast. Been tracking hurricanes for 44 years. Hurricanes are my specialty.

I apolgise Chris. He is gone.

#265 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:05 pm

0101Z - center is now completely obscured by rain. Can't make out where it is now on radar.

JTD · #266 Postby **JTD** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:05 pm

Wxman, I just wanted to say I've been reading your posts for 2 years and they are insightful, informative and easy to read. Whenever I see that you have posted in a thread, I make it a plan to see what your thoughts are

Javlin · #267 Postby **Javlin** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:06 pm

I do not think that 10'>12' difference is going to maen all that much to you does it.It is W by the way and on track with the NHC.http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DAT ... -loop.html

FlSteel · #268 Postby **FlSteel** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:06 pm

Well personally WxMan, I think you are doing a great job. It's just interesting seeing the differences in opinion from pro mets. I have been listening to Dr. Lyons tonight and once again they just reported at 9pm est that it is headed due west at 9mph and heading towards Ft. Lauderdale. He also says that they don't expect it to rapidly intensify over night.

#269 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:07 pm

0106Z -- since I can't see the center on radar, I'm going have a piece of my chocoloate birthday cake (48th) and watch the Worls Poker Tour! ;-)

Eyes2theSkies · #270 Postby **Eyes2theSkies** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:07 pm

wxman57,

Please ignore some of our posters. Your help has been of much help to me. Keep up the great work

#271 Postby **Rebelstorm** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:08 pm

I Don't post much that from pcolaguy was uuncalled for. Keep up the hard work.

rockyman · #272 Postby **rockyman** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:08 pm

Just a thought...but if the storm crosses further south over Florida, not only could it end up further west for its 2nd landfall, but it will have more time over the Gulf (moving from south to north) and it might spend less time over the Florida peninsula...since the tip of Florida narrows....plus if it crosses the Peninsula moving West instead of NW, it will have less territory to traverse....I guess what I'm getting at is the Peninsula might turn into just a speed bump instead of a major obstacle to development.

#273 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:08 pm

wxman57 wrote:0106Z -- since I can't see the center on radar, I'm going have a piece of my chocoloate birthday cake (48th) and watch the Worls Poker Tour!

Happy birthday wxman! Enjoy the cake...and World poker...and Katrina. :lol:

#274 Postby **Rebelstorm** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:09 pm

Haapy B'day from a former Texan.

#275 Postby **baygirl_1** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:10 pm

wxman57 wrote:0106Z -- since I can't see the center on radar, I'm going have a piece of my chocoloate birthday cake (48th) and watch the Worls Poker Tour!

Well, Happy Birthday! Enjoy your cake and TV time, but don't go away for too long. Your expertise is very enlightening. Thanks for sharing!

#276 Postby **deltadog03** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:11 pm

happy birthday!!!! and thanks for the reports

gkrangers · #277 Postby **gkrangers** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:11 pm

deltadog03 wrote:happy birthday!!!! and thanks for the reports

#278 Postby **storms in NC** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:11 pm

wxman57 wrote:
pcolaguy wrote:OK, this "pro" met here Mr wxman or whatever the hell your name is, you come out and say it's goin WNW then 5 minutes later you change you mind and it's going due west? If a pro met can't make up his damn mind, the what hope is there for the rest of us?

I'm just reporting the measurements I'm making on my screen from the 1-hour positions. They're facts, not opinions. Clearly the center was moving WNW around 00Z before the westward, or even slightly south of west wobble began.

As for my credentials, I've been a professional met for the past 25 years. Born and raised and still live right on the Gulf coast. Been tracking hurricanes for 44 years. Hurricanes are my specialty.

This is what Air Force met had to say

(There is a distinct center because they have a vortex message...but it is elongated...especially in the mid-levels. YOu can see the elongated MLC by watching the long-range Miami loop. People must remember that the precip you see out on the edge of the radar is not at the sfc...but in the mid and upper levels...because of line-of-sight problems (round earth...straight beam). With the upper low movins SW of Kat...it's stretching the circulation E-W...which should (SHOULD) begin to move it more in that direction over the next 12 hours.)

#279 Postby **jasons2k** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:11 pm

Happy Birthday Wxman!!

Man, I've looked at only 2 thread tonight and the tempers are the shortest I've seen yet on this board. It's sad; it used to not be that way.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #280 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:12 pm

Happy Birthday Wxman57

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