TS Katrina,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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Sanibel
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#501 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 25, 2005 11:50 am

Big difference from last night!

Let's see what a solid CDO storm does over the Gulf Stream.


990 should have higher winds.

Exit track over Sanibel Saturday. Calling for TS force winds here...
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#502 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 25, 2005 11:59 am

Sanibel wrote:Big difference from last night!

Let's see what a solid CDO storm does over the Gulf Stream.


990 should have higher winds.

Exit track over Sanibel Saturday. Calling for TS force winds here...


My daughter just told me that it is raining and some wind there now.
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#503 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:07 pm

Low banks of light gray-bottom band clouds here moving north to south. A peppering of the pre-cyclone cotton ball rag clouds now. Hazy sun through thin cirrus.


Katrina should landfall with her dry north eyewall near or over Deerfield Beach to Pompano just north of Ft Lauderdale.

This is good that an expensive storm is not materializing! Very interesting storm to watch and coming right at us here on the west coast...
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#504 Postby jpigott » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:08 pm

it appears the dry air is winning the battle on the northern side of Katrina
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#505 Postby FlSteel » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:11 pm

jpigott wrote:it appears the dry air is winning the battle on the northern side of Katrina


I agree, you can see a lack of precipitation on the north side on radar yet on the visible sat she has a beautiful presentation.
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#506 Postby Recurve » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:27 pm

Level3 shows one cell headed toward Sanibel, the farthest bands are reaching there now. 17k height for the one cell at the north end of Captiva, I think.
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#507 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:51 pm

Yup, storm seems to be bearing down on me, personally LOL. Maybe its a blessing, maybe a curse, but it looks like the center (I don't want to call it an eye even though its quite obvious on radar, I think a TS with an eye is just really eerie), comes right over me. Most of the heavy rainfall stays to my south, and the north end seems to be lacking. Been watching GRlevel3, for a few hours, and it doesn't seem to be filling in that much.
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#508 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 25, 2005 12:52 pm

The dry slot has now taken a radical shape like it is being drawn-in by a rapid development burst.

Could be about to rapidly deepen. I'm not sure...
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#509 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:05 pm

Looks like the models have shifted significantly to the west! West Coast FL may be much better off now!
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Is it Definite?

#510 Postby Astro_man92 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:06 pm

So is it definite now? Will we have a possible Hurricane Katrina after the landfall on the florida panhandle?
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#511 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:08 pm

Looks like convection has wrapped around to the north of the dry slot, and also around the center, forming an inner core.

Image

BTW I noticed a TVS pop up on the western edge of the center for 1 frame. Hmmmm, wonder how well the data is handled in respect to hurricanes.
Last edited by dolebot_Broward_NW on Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Is it Definite?

#512 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:09 pm

Astro_man92 wrote:So is it definite now? Will we have a possible Hurricane Katrina after the landfall on the florida panhandle?
Nothing is ever definite. Katrina will probably be a hurricane in the GOM.
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#513 Postby dwg71 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:10 pm

Katrina seems to be building to the NW quite well, I guess its feeling a weakness in the ridge. I would speculate the center will follow in the next 12 to 24 hours.
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#514 Postby mtm4319 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:12 pm

TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:Looks like the models have shifted significantly to the west! West Coast FL may be much better off now!


No kidding.

Image

The new UKMET and GFDL plots intersect right over my house. :eek:
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#515 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:12 pm

dolebot_Broward_NW wrote:Looks like convection has wrapped around to the north of the dry slot, and also around the center, forming an inner core.

Image

BTW I noticed a TVS pop up on the western edge of the center for 1 frame. Hmmmm, wonder how well the data is handled in respect to hurricanes.


It is really beginning to wrap around and form an eyewall according to the radar pic you posted.
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#516 Postby dwg71 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:13 pm

mtm, you need to move your house.... quickley.. :lol:
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#517 Postby Derecho » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:14 pm

New ECMWF has moved west as well, hard to tell off those crappy EC maps on the EC site, and the 24 hour steps, looks like a Western FL panhandle landfall.
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#518 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:18 pm

Not again for the Mobile/Pensacola areas.

I feel for you guys I really do.


http://weather.wwltv.com/auto/wwltv/tro ... model.html
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#519 Postby southerngale » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:24 pm

Awesome work with Google Earth and the members map, mtm!!
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#520 Postby skysummit » Thu Aug 25, 2005 1:25 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Not again for the Mobile/Pensacola areas.

I feel for you guys I really do.


http://weather.wwltv.com/auto/wwltv/tro ... model.html


No joke....those poor people really cannot take another storm. I hope it changes or them.
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