TS Katrina,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[dwg71]

with dry air infiltrating the center (MIAMI RADAR), Katrina will not be a hurricane on this side of the pennisula, imo.

[WeatherEmperor]

its also slowed down somewhat.

<RICKY>

[Brent]

No kidding.

The new UKMET and GFDL plots intersect right over my house.

Bad, bad, bad, bad models!!!

[Stormcenter]

Folks does this look like a storm that is going to shift northward abruptly anytime soon? Anyway she is about to make landfall and headed west west south west.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6

[mtm4319]

Unless I'm looking at it wrong, it appears that the center has dipped below 26.1 N.

[Mattie]

there is hard data suggesting we have a hurricane. The SFMR is supposed to be used over the flight level data as that requires an extrapolation - Derek's post on another thread

[gkrangers]

I think its right at 26.1

The "eye" spot thats slightly below 26.1 might be slightly decieving as to being the actual center.

[Hyperstorm]

The system appears to be developing an outer concentric eyewall at this time...

[mtm4319]

I think its right at 26.1

The "eye" spot thats slightly below 26.1 might be slightly decieving as to being the actual center.

Probably. Either way, it's a tenth of a degree south of the 1pm and 2pm estimates.

[gkrangers]

I think its right at 26.1

The "eye" spot thats slightly below 26.1 might be slightly decieving as to being the actual center.

Probably. Either way, it's a tenth of a degree south of the 1pm and 2pm estimates.

Wobble wobble wobble.

[txwatcher91]

The system appears to be developing an outer concentric eyewall at this time...

I believe it is beginning one. If you look at this loop, you can see how the old 'eye' fades away and a eyewall is forming to the north, possibly indicating stregthening IMO.
http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... owlabels=1

[mtm4319]

I think its right at 26.1

The "eye" spot thats slightly below 26.1 might be slightly decieving as to being the actual center.

Probably. Either way, it's a tenth of a degree south of the 1pm and 2pm estimates.

Wobble wobble wobble.

Well, I argued that it was 26.1 as of the 2pm position estimate. It's been going just south of west since this morning. How long until a wobble becomes a trend? 3 hours? 6 hours?

[Stormcenter]

I think its right at 26.1

The "eye" spot thats slightly below 26.1 might be slightly decieving as to being the actual center.

Probably. Either way, it's a tenth of a degree south of the 1pm and 2pm estimates.

Wobble wobble wobble.

Well, I argued that it was 26.1 as of the 2pm position estimate. It's been going just south of west since this morning. How long until a wobble becomes a trend? 3 hours? 6 hours?

A day, oh just kidding.

[gkrangers]

Its been between 26.2 and 26.1 for quite a while now...all the way back to last night.

I have a hard time calling that anything but due west.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

That dry slot sure is getting whacked around a lot. Seemed like a larger eye-like feature was forming out of it to the NW of the tiny rain-free center, now its just wrapping again and the tiny center is back again.

[Sanibel]

Another 72KT Flight Level was recorded...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It takes at least 80 knots at flight level to make it a hurricane. I learned that with Arlene...

[Astro_man92]

Unless I'm looking at it wrong, it appears that the center has dipped below 26.1 N.

What on google earth is that overlay?

this is the overlay I use

[superfly]

It takes at least 80 knots at flight level to make it a hurricane. I learned that with Arlene...

80-85% reduction with 80kts flight level is 64-68kts surface which sounds right.

[storms in NC]

They just going to wait till 5pm.