Hurricane Katrina

[dwg71]

Kat has appeared to have bottomed out and resumed w heading..

[gatorcane]

WHICH IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. IN
FACT...THE ECMWF MODEL DROPS THE PRESSURE OF KATRINA IN THE GULF OF
MEXICO TO 961 MB. THIS IS VERY IMPRESSIVE FOR A GLOBAL MODEL.

FL Panhandle (or GOM residents) my thoughts go out to you now

[timeflow]

I think it's actually more west of here. I'm a little uncertain of how well these overlays line up. When I was zooming in and out earlier the layering did not follow very well. But if this is even close, you can see that eastern eyewall pounded on some areas that Andrew hit directly. I do think this is over the everglades. In Google Earth, if you zoom down to this area it is kind of amazing how the populated areas just cut off completely from the swamps, so pretty much the center area of the storm is mostly completely feeding off the wetlands and holding together very well. It's probably a 75 MPH storm if it lost much at all over land. The infrared and microwave looked like it kept intensifying, so we'll see...

[cjrciadt]

they forecast a TS this time tomorrow!? They rolled the forecast and smoked it!

46mph in 9hrs

[deltadog03]

no, it hasn't still moving WSW or SW...they are on something and avilia is horrible

[dwg71]

no, it hasn't still moving WSW or SW...they are on something and avilia is horrible

look at radar, its clearly moving w.

[gatorcane]

I agree the TS is a bit low....at 45K

[jkt21787]

Its moving back west.

I won't even comment on the TS forecast and Avila...

[rockyman]

I was a little surprised by Avila's prediction of 45 knots in 12 hours (after it's off the coast)...unless this thing collapses in the next few hours...

[Brent]

I will eat the keyboard if this has 50 mph winds when I wake up tomorrow...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

How on earth can this be weaker. While at the same time looking better. Which is redeveloping its eye it had as it was moving on the coast. I say it has a better chance of holding its own if not getting stronger then weaken at this point.

[FlSteel]

I'm not good at posting links, but I just looked at a radar loop on intellicast and it shows the eye basically clear of rainfall again. This storm is just plain resilient.

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?loc=kmia&seg=LocalWeather&prodgrp=RadarImagery&product=RegionalRadarLoop&prodnav=none[/url]

[N2FSU]

now I'm getting nervous...
I remember 1985 when Kate and Elena came through here. I was a freshman at Florida State. The highest SUSTAINED winds in Tallahassee for Kate were I believe 47mph, and we had thousands of trees down and power outages up to 2 weeks.

[InimanaChoogamaga]

Maybe they are having more computer errors.

[FlSteel]

I'm not good at posting links, but I just looked at a radar loop on intellicast and it shows the eye basically clear of rainfall again. This storm is just plain resilient.

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?loc=kmia&seg=LocalWeather&prodgrp=RadarImagery&product=RegionalRadarLoop&prodnav=none[/url]

[Sanibel]

Recorrecting more west.

Will emerge Gulf Of Mexico south of Everglades City in 91 degree Sea Surface Temperatures (SST's) around 3AM...

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

This new path has the storm twice as far offshore Tampa Bay than the
5 PM advisory.

[FlSteel]

sorry for double post

[mtm4319]

no, it hasn't still moving WSW or SW...they are on something and avilia is horrible

look at radar, its clearly moving w.

I'm looking at radar and I saw a W movement in one frame and a SW movement in the next. It might very well be moving west, but it's not clear to me.

[skysummit]

She has moved 14.5 nautical miles in the last 1 hour and 45 minutes. She's only about 20-25 nautical miles away from the coast. Will she be back over water by 1a.m.?