Hurricane Katrina

[Eyes2theSkies]

I live near Orlando and I am supposed to be going on vacation to tennessee on Saturday. Do you think I should stay put.

It might come visit you on vacation...

What part of TN? The mountains?

yeah a week of peace and relaxation in the smokies

[Brent]

I live near Orlando and I am supposed to be going on vacation to tennessee on Saturday. Do you think I should stay put.

It might come visit you on vacation...

What part of TN? The mountains?

yeah a week of peace and relaxation in the smokies

It doesn't have to go much to the left of the NHC track to bring a lot of rain and wind to that area...

[JTD]

did you believe the GFDL's WSW movement last night that came true today? nearly none of us did

I kind of did actually, not totally though.

[Brent]

Catastrophic flooding if it verifies... no one down here needs rain.

[clfenwi]

Canadian looks to be calling for Destin/Fort Waltonish landfall as well:

http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/mode ... 492_50.gif

and

http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/mode ... 133_50.gif

A westward shift from 24 hours ago, but not much different from the 12Z forecast (other than timing and that's probably more of a reflection than actual events than a change in the forecast itself).

[sponger]

I step away for a couple of hours and this thing is 2 hours from exiting the coast? I think its safe to say this is a worse case senario for a strengthing cat 1 at landfall to be holding together this good. It is unbelievable! If I were in the eastern panhandle, I would leave tommorow!

[Coredesat]

1 AM advisory should be going up shortly.

[mtm4319]

HURRICANE KATRINA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1240 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005


...AT 1240 AM EDT... 0440Z... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED WESTWARD FROM KEY WEST FLORIDA TO DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND FLORIDA BAY FROM DRY TORTUGAS NORTHWARD...AND ALONG THE GULF
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTH AND EASTWARD TO SOUTH OF
FLORIDA CITY.

FORECASTER KNABB

[krysof]

those poor people in the panhandle may have no idea what may be heading there way

[The Expert]

I step away for a couple of hours and this thing is 2 hours from exiting the coast? I think its safe to say this is a worse case senario for a strengthing cat 1 at landfall to be holding together this good. It is unbelievable! If I were in the eastern panhandle, I would leave tommorow!

I wouldn't write this off as an eastern panhandle storm just yet...

[mtm4319]

Eye of Katrina beginning to emerge into the Gulf at 1:00 AM EDT...

[Brent]

1am advisory late.

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005

...KATRINA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE PASSING OVER MAINLAND MONROE
COUNTY FLORIDA...EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN SOON OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO...
...CHANGES TO WARNINGS ALONG FLORIDA EAST COAST...

AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM BOCA RATON
NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE
HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA TO FLORIDA CITY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND FLORIDA BAY FROM DRY TORTUGAS NORTHWARD...ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO DEERFIELD BEACH...AND
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTH AND
EASTWARD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ANCLOTE KEY. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MARCO ISLAND FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF
KEY WEST FLORIDA.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL
RE-STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED ONCE KATRINA EMERGES OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO LATER THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
FLOW SOUTH OF VENICE AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS MORNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA.

KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION...25.4 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER KNABB

[JTD]

double post

[Coredesat]

And this might be the weakest it'll get before hitting the GOM unless some shear magically appears out of nowhere or a 4,000 foot mountain suddenly shoots out of the ground directly in Katrina's path.

So much for 45 knots.

EDITED to remove an unnecessary "again".

[CronkPSU]

Well, i guess they better have those planes ready cause she is about to hit the GOM

[Astro_man92]

CHECK THIS OUT!!!!!!!!


AND THEIS OUT!!!

[Brent]

Hmmmm.... a tropical storm with an eye that's called a hurricane.

Someone messed up...

[Astro_man92]

chck that out it is sort of a joke lol but it also has current info!!

[Brent]

chck that out it is sort of a joke lol but it also has current info!!