13 miles until water for Katrina

jkt21787 · #41 Postby **jkt21787** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:06 am

krysof wrote:Good news, Katrina is below hurricane status as of the 1:00 am advisory. Who knows, maybe it will weaken further. So there's some good news here.

Its about to re emege. I seriously doubt we see further weakening.

#42 Postby **CronkPSU** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:07 am

krysof wrote:Good news, Katrina is below hurricane status as of the 1:00 am advisory. Who knows, maybe it will weaken further. So there's some good news here.

it may be a hurricane again by 11 AM, the eye has started touching the GOM

Website · #43 Postby **Brent** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:08 am

I think 70 mph is the lowest we'll see it at until after landfall. I guess the NHC could be a little high and it could be 65, but that's it.

#44 Postby **CronkPSU** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:09 am

Brent wrote:I think 70 mph is the lowest we'll see it at until after landfall. I guess the NHC could be a little high and it could be 65, but that's it.

so you are saying it won't drop down to 50 mph like a certain agency predicted??? :grrr:

krysof · #45 Postby **krysof** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:10 am

I actually think dry air will develop and the shear will increase to inhibit the storm. Don't forget that's what happened with Frances last year and even Ivan. Frances could have been a major hurricane at landfall and Ivan could of been a Cat 4 but it was barely a Cat 3.

Coredesat · #46 Postby **Coredesat** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:10 am

The center's about halfway over water already:

http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... evzoom=pan

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #47 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:11 am

The system is already starting to become better organized over its western side. They should of waited for recon to make sure....

jkt21787 · #48 Postby **jkt21787** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:11 am

krysof wrote:I actually think dry air will develop and the shear will increase to inhibit the storm. Don't forget that's what happened with Frances last year and even Ivan. Frances could have been a major hurricane at landfall and Ivan could of been a Cat 4 but it was barely a Cat 3.

Not being forecasted and not being seen in any current analysis/imagery. Don't think so.

Website · #49 Postby **Brent** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:12 am

CronkPSU wrote:
Brent wrote:I think 70 mph is the lowest we'll see it at until after landfall. I guess the NHC could be a little high and it could be 65, but that's it.

so you are saying it won't drop down to 50 mph like a certain agency predicted???

No way... just read the 1am wording... what a difference a forecaster makes. :lol:

JTD · #50 Postby **JTD** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:13 am

Has Katrina stalled? I read somewhere it has.

Website · #51 Postby **Brent** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:13 am

jason0509 wrote:Has Katrina stalled? I read somewhere it has.

Nope... chugging along near 8 mph now.

jkt21787 · #52 Postby **jkt21787** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:14 am

jason0509 wrote:Has Katrina stalled? I read somewhere it has.

Not really. Radar shows it still moving pretty steadily, and now emerging back over the bathwater AKA the Gulf of Mexico.

#53 Postby **TreasureIslandFLGal** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:14 am

This will be a hurricane again by the 3am advisory. The "weakening" in my opionion was merely the eyewall replacement that the system just underwent. Despite crossing "land" she didn't weaken much at all. Some seem suprised, but they aren't aware of the topography of the area she is crossing. The part of Florida where she took her path that is south of Aligator Alley is all swamp. Very warm and wet swamp. There are a lot of open waterways and lakes throughout that area and the "land" is merely patches of swamp grass with a rare tree bunch or two. That swampy water temp was probably over 93 degrees.
Wait til we see her bomb out this morning. I bet we will see a CAT2 storm by the 11am advisory.
Where she will be, I have a hunch... but I want to see exactly where her *stall* occurs first. -yes, I think there will be a stall in motion while she collects herself and makes up her mind. -Feeling out her new territory and appreciating the jacuzzi dip she starts to take.

Coredesat · #54 Postby **Coredesat** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:14 am

jason0509 wrote:Has Katrina stalled? I read somewhere it has.

No, she's still moving SW. The last frame in that radar animation was about 10 minutes ago.

Javlin · #55 Postby **Javlin** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:15 am

jason0509 wrote:Has Katrina stalled? I read somewhere it has.

She is still rolling and way ahead of schedule.

tampastorm · #56 Postby **tampastorm** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:15 am

65 MPH or 70MPH, at this point I think that means little. If it bombs those numbers will be old news.

Sanibel · #57 Postby **Sanibel** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:15 am

The flat north edge of her CDO is pointing about 275*...

#58 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:15 am

I thought she maybe has stalled earlier, but the latest frame 1211 I believe, actually shows another jog southward in my eyes.

Coredesat · #59 Postby **Coredesat** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:16 am

tampastorm wrote:65 MPH or 70MPH, at this point I think that means little. If it bombs those numbers will be old news.

I'm nowhere near Katrina, but I'm almost afraid to go to bed. I'm worried that by the time I wake up and go out to class, it'll be a Cat 2 or something.

InimanaChoogamaga · #60 Postby **InimanaChoogamaga** » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:19 am

Why not a Hurricane Warning for the Keys?

13 miles until water for Katrina

Who is online