I know he's crazy sometimes....

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jwayne
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I know he's crazy sometimes....

#1 Postby jwayne » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:11 pm

but jb just put the bullseye on new orleans.
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#2 Postby LAwxrgal » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:12 pm

There he goes.... :roll:

He has as much of a clue as we do, which is... none...
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#3 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:13 pm

It must have been put up on Panama City with velcro then...
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#4 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:13 pm

Any link to justify this?
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#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:14 pm

I agree with JB. Nearly all the models have clustered near there. Something tells me this could be very bad...
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#6 Postby jwayne » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:15 pm

he posted it 10 minutes ago on the pro site. This time, with what's going on with the modelling and the anticipated nhc west shift, I'm afraid he's got it right.
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#7 Postby kmanWX » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:19 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I agree with JB. Nearly all the models have clustered near there. Something tells me this could be very bad...
And they are all trending west as well..

looks like they are all playing the 'jumping off the bridge scenario" .
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Re: I know he's crazy sometimes....

#8 Postby duris » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:21 pm

jwayne wrote:but jb just put the bullseye on new orleans.


Yes! We're in the clear now, at least if TWC and Bob Breck agree too.

Wish we really were in the clear but I feel the need, the need for plywood.
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#9 Postby T-man » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:28 pm

:eek: Crap. That has to come thru here to get to N.O.

I'm not totally sold on this yet, though. Just in case I'll go fill up the truck with that expensive gas-brb
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#10 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:38 pm

JB BULLETIN:
FRIDAY 4:00 PM MAJOR EMERGENCY POST.

KATRINA THREATENING TO BECOME CATASTROPHE.

NEW POSITIONS TO REPLACE THIS MORNING

SATURDAY 25.5,85.5 960 MB 105KTS SUNDAY 27.0 88.0 940 MB 125KTS MONDAY 28.5 89.5 920 MB 135 KTS TUESDAY 32 89 960 MB 90KTS WED 35 85 985 MB 45 KTS THUR 40 80 992MB 30 KTS FRI 42 70 996 25 KTS

The track shift is 200-300 miles west. Reasoning and longer post along with pattern overview later.

:shocked!:
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#11 Postby truballer#1 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:42 pm

jb predicting cat 5 hurricane
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#12 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 26, 2005 3:52 pm

I can't say he's wrong. The setup really is exceptionally favorable to development, unfortunately. I don't see what's going to impede this thing.
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#13 Postby Derecho » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:00 pm

If JB is Mr. Maverick Zen Master of looking beyond the models and seeing the pattern before everyone else is...

Why didn't he call this west move of the path yesterday?
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#14 Postby senorpepr » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:10 pm

truballer#1 wrote:jb predicting cat 5 hurricane


Technically he's only predicting a cat four. 135 = Cat 4. 140kt = Cat 5.
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#15 Postby BayouVenteux » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:25 pm

Not to mince over JBs words, but the track forecast he laid out in the emergency update this afternoon seems to take it in on a Camille like-track, brushing the Mississippi River delta and making final landfall on the Mississippi Gulf Coast.

Enough east of New Orleans to avoid a direct hit, but certainly some peripheral effects.

One thing for sure, if this pans out, the effects on the American public's gasoline pocketbook will be far-reaching.
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#16 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:27 pm

Hello $3/gallon after Katrina does her thing. Just watch...
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truballer#1

#17 Postby truballer#1 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:57 pm

jb says may hit 145kts


http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/posting.p ... ly&t=71605

scroll down the page see what he wrote
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truballer#1

#18 Postby truballer#1 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:35 pm

thats 166mph winds! :eek:

don't think it will be that high, but who knows!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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